{"id":82038,"date":"2017-11-22T20:47:49","date_gmt":"2017-11-22T20:47:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/airforcetimes\/uncategorized\/2017\/11\/22\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:00:56","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:00:56","slug":"lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/airforcetimes\/flashpoints\/2017\/11\/22\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\/","title":{"rendered":"Lessons from Zapad \u2014 jamming, NATO and the future of Belarus"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2014 The biannual Zapad military exercise, jointly run by Russia and Belarus, was closely watched this September by Western nations. And while there were some concerns that the movement could be a cover for aggressive action from Moscow, the exercise was completed without incident \u2014 and for those outside the region, largely faded from memory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But for close NATO watchers, and especially the Baltic nations and Poland, seeing Russian forces operating up close provided some interesting threads to follow in the coming months.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI think we gained some insight into things we knew they could do, but it just largely refreshed us in terms of knowing this is something that we have to work on,\u201d said Jim Townsend, a longtime Pentagon Europe expert now with the Center for a New American Security think tank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, \u201cI don\u2019t think we saw something that was shocking,\u201d Townsend said. \u201cWe didn\u2019t see a new capability, we just saw a lot of things that we\u2019ve always known about and we worry about.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Col. Kaupo Rosin, Estonia\u2019s head of military intelligence, agreed that there was nothing truly shocking to come out of Zapad, but highlighted a few key takeaways from the event that his nation would be thinking through going forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The first big takeaway, Rosin told Defense News in a November interview, was what Russia was doing in the electronic warfare space, and specifically how Zapad was done in a largely EW-hostile environment, apparently reflecting how Russia excepts to have to deal with a Western assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe amount of jamming of their own troops surprised me. It was at a level we haven\u2019t seen. And they did it in the different branches, so land force, air force. That definitely surprised us,\u201d Rosin said.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/digital-show-dailies\/itsec\/2017\/11\/21\/estonian-official-cyber-must-be-part-of-core-military-education\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/GettyImages-657160038.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">Estonian official: Cyber must be part of core military education<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">A top Estonian military officer is worried about NATO nations train for cyber battle.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Under that status quo, the combined Russian forces had to fall back on maps and local knowledge of the Belarusian region they were stationed in. That helps train in two areas: building knowledge that could be vital for local forces defending against a Western incursion in the region, and getting used to what kind of electronic warfare NATO forces could bring to bear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As a result, NATO should think of other means for disrupting Russian communications, rather than just jamming, Rosin said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt probably includes some cyber activities but we have to use them,\u201d he noted. \u201cThen of course we have to think, how do we protect our own communications? What are our solutions in cases of electronic warfare that then kick in?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the fact Russia could jam its own troops so easily shows they have advanced capabilities that could be turned on NATO forces in a time of conflict. And while that might not be a problem for Estonian forces, it could complicated the alliance being able to coordinate efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAs a small country, we can still command troops using a paper map. We have done that always. So, for us I think it\u2019s not that big of a problem,\u201d Rosin noted. \u201cThe problem will kick in with reinforcement troops from other countries which are far away from home, and probably in higher echelons. When we are talking about the NATO command structure or different staff, then I think the problem will kick in.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A second lesson from Zapad is the vital nature of speed for the NATO alliance. If Russia made a move through Belarus towards the Baltic states, could the alliance military get to the front quickly enough for it to matter?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThat\u2019s always the question. The Russians have always the advantage of the time and space and troops,\u201d Rosin noted, adding that a focus for the alliance in the coming year will be to figure out legal ways for NATO forces to move more quickly across nations\u2019 borders. While Estonia has made it so allied forces can move in within 24 hours, other nations take longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe rapid transport is very, very important including sea, air, and land, of course. And of course, the more troops we have for already in the peace time, the less we have to transport in the war time,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A third takeaway from Zapad is the role and importance of Belarus, which housed the official part of the Zapad exercise. Rosin said it was psychologically, militarily and politically vital for Russia to keep Belarus under its umbrella.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf it\u2019s achieved without any military action, it\u2019s okay for Russia,\u201d Rosin said, but he warned that \u201cif there is a serious threat, that Belorussia will somehow slide away from their point of view, [Russia] will definitely use\u201d military force to keep Minsk under its control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And should that happen, Belarus is likely on its own, Rosin acknowledged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI don\u2019t think that anybody will come to help Belarus in that case militarily. We will definitely all be very concerned and so on,\u201d he said. \u201cBut there will be no \u2014 at least this is my current assessment in November 2017, is that there will be no military action [from NATO] if Russia conducts military action in Belarus.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For Townsend, though, the biggest takeaway is to remember that Zapad is an important military exercise\u2014and likely nothing more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe spin ourselves up and we give them these propaganda victories, and they don\u2019t even have to do anything,\u201d Townsend said. \u201cThey go \u2018boo\u2019 and everyone jumps and runs around, and we can\u2019t let them do that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI think next time we have to be cool and calm and say \u2018Lets just be cool here.\u2019 They\u2019ve been doing Zapad for many years and no one paid attention until recently. So, let\u2019s not overreact, be proportionate, be cool, and not lose our minds.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Col. Kaupo Rosin, Estonia\u2019s head of military intelligence, laid out his big takeaways from Zapad during a November interview with Defense News.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":58512,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":13,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[101,13,16,26,65],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3273],"class_list":["post-82038","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-flashpoints","category-news","category-newsletters","category-pentagon-congress"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"2LJLIVPD2FEVRLTLXRFD6IRNJQ","arc_canonical_url":"\/global\/2017\/11\/22\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lessons from Zapad \u2014 jamming, NATO and the future of Belarus - Air Force TImes<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Col. 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Kaupo Rosin, Estonia\u2019s head of military intelligence, laid out his big takeaways from Zapad during a November interview with Defense News.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/airforcetimes\/flashpoints\/2017\/11\/22\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Air Force TImes\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-11-22T20:47:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-08T00:00:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aaron Mehta\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aaron Mehta\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Article\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/airforcetimes\\\/flashpoints\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/22\\\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/airforcetimes\\\/flashpoints\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/22\\\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"migration\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/airforcetimes\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cc76c831bb37a926738c8391fca7a3b1\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"Lessons from Zapad \u2014 jamming, NATO and the future of Belarus\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2017-11-22T20:47:49+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2026-08-08T00:00:56+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/airforcetimes\\\/flashpoints\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/22\\\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 960,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/airforcetimes\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/airforcetimes\\\/flashpoints\\\/2017\\\/11\\\/22\\\/lessons-from-zapad-jamming-nato-and-the-future-of-belarus\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/AP17261458459534.jpg.jpg\",\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"Daily News Roundup\",\n\t                \"Flashpoints\",\n\t                \"News\",\n\t                \"Newsletters\",\n\t                \"Pentagon &amp; 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