{"id":57414,"date":"2021-01-05T16:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-01-05T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/armytimes\/uncategorized\/2021\/01\/05\/new-in-2021-atlantic-hurricane-outlook-and-potential-impact\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T09:36:19","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T09:36:19","slug":"new-in-2021-atlantic-hurricane-outlook-and-potential-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/armytimes\/news\/your-army\/2021\/01\/05\/new-in-2021-atlantic-hurricane-outlook-and-potential-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"New in 2021: Atlantic hurricane outlook and potential impact"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hurricane season is one of the biggest events for the National Guard every year, and 2020 was no exception. The COVID-19 pandemic may have overshadowed hurricane season, but that didn\u2019t stop the Guard from activating for nine tropical weather systems, four of which made landfall as Category 2 or stronger storms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">To get a sense of what 2021 may hold for the Atlantic basin, Military Times spoke with hurricane expert Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University. Every December, Klotzbach\u2019s research team releases <a href=\"https:\/\/tropical.colostate.edu\/Forecast\/2020-12.pdf\">a discussion of factors<\/a> that influence the amount of energy available for tropical cyclones.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Klotzbach\u2019s team will release a more detailed forecast in April that includes a projected number of storms, but their initial look says the Guard may stay busy in 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cOne of the big reasons why we think the odds favor an above average season at this point is that we currently have a moderate La Ni\u00f1a event [in the eastern Pacific],\u201d explained Klotzbach in a phone interview. La Ni\u00f1a means cooler Pacific water temperatures, which in turn reduces upper-level winds that \u201cbasically tear apart\u201d Atlantic storms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But even if a season has more storms and stronger storms, he said, \u201cWe can\u2019t say where the storms are going to go\u2026it\u2019s all about location, location, location.\u201d Klotzbach characterized the risk to military bases in the South as one of luck. \u201cThe odds are very low that any one installation would be hit in any year&#8230;[but] over 30 years, over 50 years \u2013\u2013 those odds grow tremendously.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A first look at factors influencing the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season suggests we&#8217;re in for an &#8220;above average&#8221; 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