{"id":66784,"date":"2020-11-19T23:10:19","date_gmt":"2020-11-19T23:10:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/armytimes\/uncategorized\/2020\/11\/19\/accelerated-us-troop-withdrawal-rattles-afghan-allies-and-adversaries-alike\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T11:44:47","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T11:44:47","slug":"accelerated-us-troop-withdrawal-rattles-afghan-allies-and-adversaries-alike","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/armytimes\/flashpoints\/2020\/11\/19\/accelerated-us-troop-withdrawal-rattles-afghan-allies-and-adversaries-alike\/","title":{"rendered":"Accelerated US troop withdrawal rattles Afghan allies and adversaries alike"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ISLAMABAD \u2014 An accelerated U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/11\/17\/acting-secdef-assures-end-of-generational-mideast-wars-in-announcement-of-partial-drawdown\/\" target=_blank>announced by Washington this week<\/a>, has rattled both allies and adversaries. There are fears of worsening violence and regional chaos, which some say could embolden <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/flashpoints\/2020\/02\/27\/isis-loses-more-than-half-its-fighters-from-us-airstrikes-and-taliban-ground-operations\/\" target=_blank>the local Islamic State affiliate<\/a> to regroup and perhaps even try to build another \u201ccaliphate.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Under an earlier <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/02\/29\/all-us-troops-to-leave-afghanistan-in-14-months-if-taliban-meets-commitments-of-peace-deal-signed-today\/\" target=_blank>deal between the U.S. and the Taliban<\/a> that outlined a gradual pullout, the remaining U.S. forces were to leave Afghanistan by April. The Pentagon now says some 2,500 troops will leave by January, just days before President-elect Joe Biden\u2019s inauguration, leaving another 2,000 or so U.S. forces in place. Biden has said he prefers a small, intelligence-driven, counterterrorism presence in Afghanistan. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A U.S. withdrawal would be welcome in most of rural Afghanistan where civilians are increasingly caught in the crossfire between Taliban and government forces, said Torek Farhadi, a former Afghan government adviser and political analyst.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAfter a bombing by any side of the conflict, no one has gone back to rebuild any infrastructure. No one has really worked on healing hearts and minds,\u201d he said. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S.-Taliban deal, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/02\/24\/trump-expresses-optimism-for-us-peace-deal-with-taliban\/\" target=_blank>signed in February<\/a>, was largely propelled by Washington\u2019s fear of an expanding Islamic State affiliate in Afghanistan, said a U.S. Defense Department official who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With terrorist plots that he said had links to Afghanistan, Washington sought a deal with the Taliban that would bring them into a coordinated fight \u2014 along with Afghan security forces \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/08\/03\/afghan-forces-retake-prison-after-deadly-attack-by-isis-group\/\" target=_blank>against the Islamic State militant group<\/a>, which lost its self-proclaimed \u201ccaliphate\u201d in Syria and Iraq.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A U.S.-led coalition toppled the Taliban in Afghanistan for harboring former al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden following the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. The Taliban has regained strength in recent years in the country, although the Islamic State and a degraded al-Qaida still carry out attacks in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWashington has looked at Afghanistan largely through a counterterrorism lens. And that will certainly be the case for the incoming Biden administration,\u201d said Michael Kugelman, deputy director of the Asia Program at the Washington-based Wilson Center.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/news\/your-military\/2020\/10\/21\/top-us-general-in-afghanistan-says-hes-holding-back-to-give-taliban-peace-deal-a-chance\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"219\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Scott-miller-tooled-out.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">Top US general in Afghanistan says he\u2019s holding back to give Taliban peace deal a chance<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">Army Gen. Scott Miller told the BBC that the U.S. is showing restraint in order to support the Taliban peace process.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NATO has fewer than 12,000 troops helping to train and advise Afghan national security forces. The 30-nation alliance relies heavily on the U.S. armed forces for transport, logistics and other support.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kugelman said President Donald Trump\u2019s approach to ending America\u2019s longest war was always a gamble.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWhile the idea of the Taliban making peace with the Afghan government and then working together to target ISIS sounds great in theory, it\u2019s a very tall order, and especially anytime soon.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A Biden administration strategy of maintaining a residual force \u2014 even a narrowly focused one \u2014 would require a renegotiated deal with the Taliban, which the insurgent movement has already rejected. The Afghan government, which has complained bitterly about being sidelined in U.S. negotiations with the Taliban, wants the deal scrapped entirely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With word this week of the accelerated U.S. troop withdrawal, Afghans also fear powerful warlords in Kabul with a long history of infighting could again turn their guns on each other once the current deterrence of an international troop presence is sharply reduced. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cOne of the most critical roles of the U.S. in Afghanistan &#8230; is to keep their own Afghan allies from fighting among themselves and bringing down the state,\u201d said Anatol Lieven, a New America Foundation Senior Fellow at Georgetown University\u2019s Qatar campus. \u201cIt seems unlikely, however, that the U.S. will be willing or able to do this indefinitely.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts fear the accelerated withdrawal could significantly compromise the defense capabilities of Afghanistan\u2019s forces. Kugelman says even a small number of U.S. forces can have an impact on the direction of the war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe numbers (of troops being pulled out) may seem small, and they are, but the impacts of even small numbers of troops are considerable,\u201d he said. \u201cU.S. air power has helped Afghan ground forces repel Taliban offensives. U.S. troops help strengthen much-needed capacity within Afghan security forces.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yet Afghanistan\u2019s acting Defense Minister Asadullah Khalid told Parliament on Tuesday that the security forces were holding their own and only 4 percent of their operations need <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/10\/12\/us-forces-hit-taliban-with-airstrikes-in-helmand\/\" target=_blank>U.S. air assistance<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere might be up and down in numbers of troops, but we are not concerned. We are ready to defend Afghanistan independently,\u201d Khalid told lawmakers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1429\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6198511.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"Afghan National Army commandos stand in formation waiting to be greeted by Afghan Minister of Defense Asadullah Khalid and Resolute Support Commander Gen. Scott Miller in Kabul, Afghanistan, April 28, 2020.\" class=\"wp-image-99835\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6198511.jpg.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6198511.jpg.jpg?resize=300,214 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6198511.jpg.jpg?resize=768,549 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6198511.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,732 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6198511.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1097 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Afghan National Army commandos stand in formation waiting to be greeted by Afghan Minister of Defense Asadullah Khalid and Resolute Support Commander Gen. Scott Miller in Kabul, Afghanistan, April 28, 2020. (Spc. Jeffery J. Harris\/Army Reserve<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Afghanistan remains desperately poor, even after 20 years and billions of dollars in investment. More than 25 million of its 36 million people survive on barely $1.40 a day. For many, the presence of international forces brings little relief.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThere\u2019s certainly good reason to believe that the U.S is wearing out its welcome in Afghanistan, given its inability to rein in rising insurgent and terrorist violence and given its own contribution to the violence through actions that maim and kill civilians,\u201d Kugelman said. \u201cAnd that\u2019s aside from perceptions of U.S. complicity in Kabul\u2019s corruption.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Afghanistan\u2019s government is among the world\u2019s 10 most corrupt, according to Transparency International. Since 2002, Washington\u2019s own watchdog says the U.S. has lost $19 billion of aid to Afghanistan to waste, abuse and fraud.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. spends $4 billion a year on Afghanistan\u2019s National Security and Defense Forces, yet relentless violence in the country has been demoralizing and U.S. air power has been the key to the ability of Afghan forces to hold territory against Taliban onslaughts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Afghanistan\u2019s security forces also have been degraded by corruption. According to an August report by the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, about half of all police in the Taliban strongholds of the southern provinces use drugs and up to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/2016\/02\/16\/pentagon-scrambles-to-account-for-afghan-ghost-troops\/\" target=_blank>70 percent of police positions in those regions are \u201cghost\u201d jobs<\/a> \u2014 in which they are not actually filled but the salaries are diverted to officials on the take.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. troop withdrawal seems certain to feature prominently in the first visit to Afghanistan on Thursday of Pakistan\u2019s Prime Minister Imran Khan. The neighbors have an uneasy relationship, with Kabul accusing Islamabad of strengthening the Taliban by harboring its leadership. Pakistan says Afghanistan has become the staging arena for Indian-sponsored attacks on its soil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pakistan has been critical in getting the Taliban to the table, and Khan has warned against a messy retreat by U.S. troops, fearing that the chaos in Afghanistan will spill into Pakistan, which still houses nearly 2 million Afghan refugees from four decades of war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But Kabul worries about Pakistan might use proxy Taliban fighters to retaliate if Islamabad feels threatened by India-sponsored attacks from Afghan territory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIn the end, the future of Afghanistan depends on the Afghans themselves and Afghanistan\u2019s neighbors. The USA is not going to be in this region forever,\u201d Lieven said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAs for most other Afghans, it seems that they are just desperately anxious for an end to the war,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i>Associated Press writer Tameem Akhgar in Kabul, Afghanistan, contributed.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts fear the accelerated withdrawal could significantly compromise the defense capabilities of Afghanistan\u2019s 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By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Accelerated US troop withdrawal rattles Afghan allies and adversaries alike - Army Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Analysts fear the accelerated withdrawal could significantly compromise the defense capabilities of Afghanistan\u2019s forces.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Accelerated US troop withdrawal rattles Afghan allies and adversaries alike\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Analysts fear the accelerated withdrawal could significantly compromise the defense capabilities of Afghanistan\u2019s forces.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" 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