{"id":23332,"date":"2018-06-13T21:30:11","date_gmt":"2018-06-13T21:30:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/c4isrnet\/uncategorized\/2018\/06\/13\/why-north-korean-cyberattacks-may-mushroom\/"},"modified":"2026-08-18T20:04:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-18T20:04:26","slug":"why-north-korean-cyberattacks-may-mushroom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/c4isrnet\/home\/2018\/06\/13\/why-north-korean-cyberattacks-may-mushroom\/","title":{"rendered":"Why North Korean cyberattacks may mushroom"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For more than a half-decade, Eric Rosenbach read an intelligence report in the early morning while most of Washington, D.C., was still sleeping. Holding top positions in the Department of Defense, including \u201cPentagon cyber czar,\u201d Rosenbach had the world\u2019s threats at his fingertips. One stood out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"> \u201cThe country that worried me the most was North Korea because they are so unpredictable,\u201d Rosenbach <a href=\"https:\/\/www.recode.net\/2018\/6\/1\/17389970\/eric-rosenbach-harvard-election-security-code-conference-video\">said<\/a> at a recent ReCode conference that took place before the historic June 12 meeting between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rosenbach is among a coalition of experts and former government officials who warn that, in the aftermath of the Singapore summit, North Korea\u2019s cyber prowess could continue with a vengeance. \u201cTensions will start to escalate like they always have [and] the North Koreans will turn to cyber as they have in the past.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">North Korea could \u201chit us where we are most vulnerable, which is in the democracy and the systems that underpin our democracy,\u201d Rosenbach warned, singling out voting systems for the 2018 midterm elections. State election officials \u201care not equipped to be defending against the pointy tip of the spear of a nation state intel service.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The future of American relations with North Korea is anything but certain. Few would have predicted that after barbed exchanges of \u201cdotard\u201d and \u201clittle rocket man\u201d from Kim and Trump, American and North Korean flags would rest side by side during a dramatic summit just months later. But if North Korea\u2019s cyber history is any indication, digital tension between the two nations could mushroom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Experts are quick to point out that North Korea\u2019s cyber strategy is multidimensional. Fred Plan, a senior analyst at the intelligence firm FireEye, said there were three elements of North Korea\u2019s cyber operations: espionage, destructive operations and revenue generation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIn terms of cyber espionage, that is set to continue,\u201d Plan said. Assessing whether North Korea will continue its destructive operations will depend on the relationship between Pyongyang and Washington, Plan added. And it is too difficult to tell how North Korea\u2019s revenue-generating operations will proceed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>A history of chaos<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In 2009, the hermit kingdom\u2019s hackers operated on a small scale, Plan told Fifth Domain. North Korea\u2019s state-backed digital operations were focused on their longtime rivals to the south. But as the hackers\u2019 confidence grew, Pyongyang\u2019s leaders realized it was an effective tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cBecause North Korea does not rely much on cyberspace in both the public and private sector, cyberattacks become a unique asymmetric advantage,\u201d said Jenny Jun, a researcher on North Korea\u2019s cyber capabilities based at Columbia University.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">North Korea\u2019s attributed attack in 2014 on Sony was seen as the country\u2019s digital coming-out party, a realization that its cyber skills posed a virtual threat. It marked the peak of their operations, Jun said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But then, North Korea shifted cyber operations to criminal activities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Plan attributed the change to the introduction of harsh sanctions on North Korea. In 2016, the United Nations Security Council placed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/11\/30\/world\/asia\/north-korea-un-sanctions.html\">sweeping<\/a> sanctions on North Korea for its continued pursuit of nuclear weapons. North Korea\u2019s economy is heavily dependent on trade with China, which was sharply curtailed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cChina was on board with the rest of the U.N. Security Council for the sanctions, and this put the North Korean regime in a bad spot,\u201d Plan explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">North Korea invested in ransomware and hacking activities that could generate money for the cash-strapped nation, starting an alleged string of high-profile heists. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Lazerous group, which has been linked to North Korea, was <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2017\/03\/22\/business\/dealbook\/north-korea-said-to-be-target-of-inquiry-over-81-million-cyberheist.html\">allegedly<\/a> behind a $81 million hack on a Bangladeshi bank in 2016. The group was also <a href=\"http:\/\/baesystemsai.blogspot.com\/2017\/10\/taiwan-heist-lazarus-tools.html\">supposedly<\/a> behind brazen attacks on the SWIFT bank-messaging system that may have resulted in millions of stolen dollars. The Obama administration also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefings-statements\/press-briefing-on-the-attribution-of-the-wannacry-malware-attack-to-north-korea-121917\/\">said<\/a> that the 2017 WannaCry hack, which may <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/wannacry-ransomware-attacks-wannacry-virus-losses\/\">amount<\/a> to $4 billion in total damages, was a North Korean plot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even if sanctions are removed on North Korea, Plan said that the country\u2019s habit of hacking for profit may continue. \u201cThe genie may be out of the bottle.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And even if Trump pressed North Korea\u2019s leaders on their cyber operations, his power may be limited.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s not just a bilateral issue,\u201d Jun warned. \u201cIf they are hacking Bangladeshi and Vietnamese banks, any solution will have to entail an international effort. Still, I\u2019m not very optimistic that North Korea will be bound by such efforts.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Based on history, experts project that cyberattacks on critical infrastructure won&#8217;t subside following the Trump-Kim summit.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":69590,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[106,29,32],"tags":[8481],"coauthors":[2917],"class_list":["post-23332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-brief","category-home","category-newsletters","tag-north-korea"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"SH4UPK6INJH5NODW75PRY47KVQ","arc_canonical_url":"\/international\/2018\/06\/13\/why-north-korean-cyberattacks-may-mushroom\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented 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