{"id":35867,"date":"2022-12-19T21:56:50","date_gmt":"2022-12-19T21:56:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/c4isrnet\/uncategorized\/2022\/12\/19\/experts-forecast-smooth-path-for-l3harris-aerojet-acquisition\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:45:31","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:45:31","slug":"experts-forecast-smooth-path-for-l3harris-aerojet-acquisition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/c4isrnet\/space\/2022\/12\/19\/experts-forecast-smooth-path-for-l3harris-aerojet-acquisition\/","title":{"rendered":"Experts forecast smooth path for L3Harris-Aerojet acquisition"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2015 Though regulators<a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/industry\/2022\/01\/25\/lockheed-says-planned-aerojet-acquisition-faces-federal-antitrust-roadblock\/\" target=\"_blank\"> sought to block<\/a> Lockheed Martin\u2019s bid to acquire Aerojet Rocketdyne last year, they are far more likely to let the propulsion firm\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/industry\/2022\/12\/19\/l3harris-moves-to-acquire-aerojet-rocketdyne\/\" target=\"_blank\">proposed deal with prime contractor L3Harris Technologies<\/a> go through, experts said Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The deal, if approved, would see the country\u2019s only independent solid rocket motor maker bought by the sixth-largest American defense firm, L3Harris, in a deal valued at $4.7 billion. Pending government approvals, the deal is expected to close in 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/industry\/2022\/01\/26\/federal-trade-commission-alleges-lockheed-had-tried-to-limit-competition-before-aerojet-deal\/\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. Federal Trade Commission<\/a> filed a lawsuit in January to block Lockheed\u2019s $4.4 billion takeover of Aerojet because the FTC opposed the prospect of the vertical consolidation. But the newly proposed combination would be horizontal, with no material competitive overlaps, according to former deputy undersecretary of defense for industrial affairs Jeff Bialos.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThis will have a considerably easier time than the Lockheed-Aerojet deal,\u201d said Bialos, now co-chair of global law firm Eversheds-Sutherland\u2019s aerospace, defense and security group.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Though Lockheed said it would have allowed Aerojet to continue as a merchant supplier of propulsion equipment to the entire industry, the FTC\u2019s complaint against the deal alleged Lockheed had previously tried to sway Aerojet against selling its wares to rival firms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bialos, who has previously represented both L3Harris and Aerojet, said L3Harris should be helped by its track record as a merchant supplier of various technologies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt remains to be seen whether the regulatory agencies would give much cognizance to that, but I think the Defense Department would take that seriously because the history is there,\u201d Bialos said. \u201cAccording to the FTC, there was no merchant supplier mentality at Lockheed.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L3Harris is banking that regulators will approve the deal, according to the public terms. If the government is not satisfied by the deal and it\u2019s scuttled, L3Harris would have to pay Aerojet a $406 million \u201creverse-breakup\u201d fee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThey are making a bet,\u201d Bialos said of L3Harris.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two companies, in their announcement, say the deal offers the country a \u201cstrengthened merchant supplier.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe\u2019ve heard the Defense Department leadership loud and clear: they want high-quality, innovative and cost-effective solutions to meet both current and emerging threats, and they\u2019re relying upon a strong, competitive industrial base to deliver those solutions,\u201d L3Harris Chairman and CEO Chris Kubasik said in the statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/global\/2022\/07\/06\/aerojet-chief-wins-out-over-former-board-chairman-selects-new-board-members\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/aerojet-rocketdyne-hq.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">Aerojet chief wins out over former board chairman, selects new board members<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">The election closes a period of remarkable open conflict between Aerojet&#039;s top leaders that spilled into the open as its proposed acquisition by Lockheed Martin foundered.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A key opponent of the Lockheed\u2019s takeover bid, Massachusetts Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren, said she would be scrutinizing Aerojet\u2019s new plans to be acquired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cFurther corporate consolidation in the American defense industry raises both antitrust issues and national security concerns. As a Senate Armed Services Committee member, I opposed Aerojet\u2019s previous failed deal and continue to closely monitor antitrust enforcement against defense contractors,\u201d Warren said in a statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The antitrust advocacy group American Economic Liberties Project on Monday equated the new deal to the Lockheed deal, saying it would be unwelcome consolidation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s a case of deja vu,\u201d the group\u2019s national security director, Lucas Kunce, said in a news release. \u201cAntitrust enforcers did the right thing last time, blocking an acquisition of Aerojet by a major prime contractor, and they should do it again. To create the competition that the warfighter and the taxpayer desperately need, we should be talking about break-ups, not acquisitions.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Biden administration has indicated that it would subject mergers to a \u201cheightened review\u201d in a report that came out earlier this year, so this deal will likely be carefully screened, according to Cynthia Cook, of the defense-industrial initiatives group at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThat said, every deal is different,\u201d Cook said. \u201cThis merger should not trigger the same concerns as the failed Lockheed Martin takeover, as this looks more like a move toward increased diversification for L3Harris rather than one representing increased consolidation for a particular sector.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">L3Harris would gain a rocket motor supplier amid an \u201cexplosion in missile production demand,\u201d driven by aid to Ukraine\u2019s fight to repel Russia, U.S. arms transfers to NATO allies and Taiwan, and increases in Army, Navy and Air Force spending on long-range fires in a potential China fight, analyst Jim McAleese, of McAleese and Associates, said in a note Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The transaction would further L3Harris\u2019s efforts to \u201center adjacent markets in big bites,\u201d while letting Aerojet stay mostly intact and gain access to capital for future opportunities, according to Brett Lambert, a former Pentagon industrial policy official in the Obama administration, now with the Densmore Group consultancy firm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Those capitol opportunities come as as Aerojet is facing a more competitive landscape, with several startups \u2015 X-Bow Systems, Estes Energetics, Firehawk Aerospace and Adranos \u2015 entering its corner of the market, said analyst Byron Callan of Capital Alpha Partners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For Wall Street, it\u2019s an open question whether L3Harris will be able to sustain its profit margins and invest at a level that will allow Aerojet to stay ahead of new players, Callan said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cowen Washington Research Group\u2019s Roman Schweizer and Gautam Khanna said in a note to investors Monday they \u201cexpect a thorough but quick FTC review\u201d and \u201cexpect approval but concede the current FTC is anti-consolidation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ahead of the Pentagon\u2019s budget release next year, Cowen forecasts Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine will drive a 46% increase in Pentagon spending<b> <\/b>across more than two dozen major weapons and munitions programs through 2027. Nine contain rocket motor content from Aerojet, a key component and rocket motor supplier to Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Raytheon \u2015 which helps make Aerojet an attractive purchase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAerojet has key [intellectual property] and manufacturing capabilities for solid- and liquid-fueled rocket for space launch, hypersonics, missile defense and strike weapons (all of which we believe will grow equal\/better than DoD\u2019s top line),\u201d Schweizer and Khanna said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How will regulators approach L3Harris&#8217;s bid to acquire Aerojet Rocketdyne?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":117168,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":37,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[7,29,13,37],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3331],"class_list":["post-35867","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-battlefield-tech","category-home","category-industry","category-space"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"IZMNXMKBYRFZRF3C7ZDXINXLGE","arc_canonical_url":"\/industry\/2022\/12\/19\/experts-forecast-smooth-path-for-l3harris-aerojet-acquisition\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented 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