{"id":36003,"date":"2023-03-20T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2023-03-20T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/c4isrnet\/uncategorized\/2023\/03\/20\/how-the-us-navys-five-year-spending-plan-affects-shipyards-suppliers\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:51:50","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:51:50","slug":"how-the-us-navys-five-year-spending-plan-affects-shipyards-suppliers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/c4isrnet\/industry\/2023\/03\/20\/how-the-us-navys-five-year-spending-plan-affects-shipyards-suppliers\/","title":{"rendered":"Why the US Navy\u2019s budget plan creates uncertainty for shipbuilders"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WASHINGTON \u2014 Dualities are emerging in the U.S. Navy\u2019s shipbuilding plans, leaving industry to wonder what to make of the sea service\u2019s near-term spending plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The quintessential ship programs are stable \u2014 the aircraft carriers, the submarines, the destroyers, the frigates, the oilers \u2014 but all other existing production lines would end or slow down under the Navy\u2019s recently released fiscal 2024 budget plan. This may lead to what one shipbuilding industry source called a \u201cknife fight\u201d among shipyards over a handful of smaller, less complex ship programs laid out in government\u2019s five-year forecast in a effort to keep the workforce busy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Navy insists it\u2019s investing in industry and providing the necessary stability, but the naval sector feels off-kilter from last year\u2019s long-range shipbuilding plan, which included three different approaches. Navy Secretary Carlos Del Toro said last week the FY24 long-range shipbuilding plan, due out \u201csoon,\u201d would likely include three options again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For industry, \u201cyou want to have the stability to say: \u2018This is the plan, and this is where we\u2019re going,\u2019 \u201d said Matt Paxton, the president of the Shipbuilders Council of America. Instead, vendors are feeling \u201csome fluctuation,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s what the Navy laid out in its five-year Future Years Defense Program for shipbuilding, and what it means for the prime shipyards and their suppliers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A sparse workload<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

The Navy asked for $32.8 billion in FY24 for nine ships: one Columbia-class ballistic missile submarine, two Virginia-class attack submarines, two Arleigh Burke-class destroyers, two Constellation-class frigates, one John Lewis-class oiler and one submarine tender.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s one more than last year, but fewer than the 11 ships Congress ultimately chose to authorize and fund in FY23. (Navy budget documents show a request of nine ships in FY23, including one vessel already partially purchased in a previous year, which cannot by law be counted again.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For FY25, the Navy plans to buy seven: two subs, two destroyers, a frigate, its first ocean surveillance ship, and its first Landing Ship Medium. That final vessel is smaller than any ship the Navy fields but larger than an amphibious connector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Over the five-year Future Years Defense Program, a few new programs begin: The service will buy six Medium Landing Ships over the FYDP; three Next-Generation Logistics Ships, which are smaller than typical logistics vessels and will resupply dispersed ships or Marine units ashore; two submarine tenders; and four surveillance ships.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The shipbuilding industry source, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive matter, said these tier-two programs will likely spark a fight among multiple shipyards who need to keep their labor force and supplier base in tact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Several major shipbuilders have begun filling their production lines with other work, as Navy programs have either ended or are getting strung along unpredictably through congressional adds rather than Navy long-term planning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Austal USA in Alabama took on work as a supplier, building and outfitting submarine modules for General Dynamics Electric Boat, and it fabricated aluminum aircraft elevators for HII\u2019s Newport News Shipbuilding. And in June 2022, Austal won the Coast Guard\u2019s Offshore Patrol Cutter contract. Meanwhile, its littoral combat ship work will end soon, and the Navy is trying to end the Expeditionary Fast Transport line, on which Austal works. Though Congress did add two ships into the FY23 budget last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

HII\u2019s Ingalls Shipbuilding in Mississippi took on modernization work, having won a contract to integrate the Conventional Prompt Strike hypersonic weapon system onto Zumwalt-class destroyers. But Ingalls\u2019 work on the Coast Guard\u2019s National Security Cutter program is nearing an end, plus the Navy has proposed a \u201cstrategic pause\u201d <\/a>in its San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock line. And the service is stretching out the America-class amphibious assault ship program longer than the ideal four-year build cycles, leading to uncertainty about the yard\u2019s upcoming workload.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And General Dynamics\u2019 NASSCO yard in San Diego, California, is partnering with Spanish shipbuilder Navantia to try to enter the offshore wind market, the San Diego Union-Tribute reported<\/a> this month. NASSCO builds the oiler, which continues through the FYDP, and the Expeditionary Sea Base, which does not appear in future Navy spending plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday, right, speaks with a NASSCO official during a visit to the yard on Feb. 18, 2022. (Cmdr. Courtney Hillson\/U.S. Navy)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Paula Zorensky, the vice president of the Shipbuilders Council of America, told Defense News in a March 16 interview that the Navy\u2019s smaller ship programs in the FYDP will draw \u201cstrong competition,\u201d but that this alternate work strengthens the yards and the industrial base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThere are other government programs, too, that our folks will compete for, and that ultimately benefits the Navy as a customer \u2014 whether it\u2019s Coast Guard, or the Army\u2019s got to recapitalize some of their vessels, [the Maritime Administration], [the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration], Missile Defense Agency, and then there\u2019s a burgeoning offshore wind market,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThere\u2019s a lot of people cutting their teeth, and in a really competitive market that just benefits the Navy,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Shipbuilder challenges<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

From the Navy\u2019s perspective, its FY24 request represents two years in a row of consistency and support for the industrial base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIn this budget request [are] two consecutive years of consistent ship funding, two consecutive years of industrial-base funding. We\u2019re giving industry what they\u2019ve asked for \u2014 invest in them, give them headlights,\u201d Rear Adm. John Gumbleton, the Navy\u2019s budget officer, told reporters March 13. \u201cSo now we\u2019re going to watch for that return on investment.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zorensky said investments in the shipbuilding industry proved helpful, and the Shipbuilders Council of America has regularly held conversations with the Navy\u2019s Shipbuilding Industrial Base Task Force about investment opportunities as well as successes that stemmed from putting Navy funding toward \u201cworkforce and potentially some capital investments, machinery, etc., and other training opportunities. And so we\u2019re seeing that funding definitely work its way through the system.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, companies need to make their own investments, she noted, which is difficult when their projected workload is constantly shifting. For example, a prime contractor needs to buy paint or valves in bulk from a supplier, or a supplier must invest in the rigorous accounting and cybersecurity systems that go along with government contracts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
A welder works on a U.S. Navy ship at a steel production facility. (Ashley Cowan\/Newport News Shipbuilding)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

To that end, industry has lingering concerns with the Navy\u2019s FY24 budget request. One of them is volatility in the ship decommissioning plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paxton told Defense News that the council represents both shipbuilders and ship repair companies, and that many suppliers do business on both sides of the Navy portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The service is accelerating the retirement of several ship classes in recent years \u2014 cruisers, amphibious dock landing ships, littoral combat ships and expeditionary sea bases \u2014 that it says either became too burdensome on the maintenance system or don\u2019t pack a big enough offensive punch to justify continued investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The constant back-and-forth between the Navy and Congress on these decommissioning plans represents turmoil for half of the shipbuilding and ship repair portfolio, \u201cwhere we want to see all of it have stability and predictability,\u201d Paxton said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Another issue is that instability in the tier-two programs may bleed into the larger, more stable ones. Many suppliers provide parts for multiple ship programs, and so their overall workload \u2014 and therefore the cost and availability of their parts \u2014 ends up in flux as some ship production lines are stopped.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhen you halt a program, that doesn\u2019t just affect that product line; it has a ripple effect across our facilities in our supply chain. There has been consistency in some shipbuilding programs, and that\u2019s great. We would like to see some of that consistency across all of U.S. Navy shipbuilding,\u201d Paxton said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lt. Gen. Karsten Heckl, the deputy commandant of the Marine Corps for combat development and integration, told Defense News in a statement that the truncation of the San Antonio-class amphibious line, for example, could cause the amphibious warship industrial base to begin reducing its workforce in FY27.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ingalls Shipbuilding did not confirm a timeline for this impact, but spokeswoman Kimberly Aguillard said in a March 17 statement that \u201cany delay or pause could have significant impacts on the ability to maintain an efficient and affordable LPD line.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The yard and its suppliers need a consistent demand signal from the Navy, she said, and \u201ccontinuing the LPD program allows the Navy and Ingalls to take advantage of a mature design, an experienced workforce and provides stability for our partner supplier network.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Another lingering concern is the multiple-choice approach to the shipbuilding plan. Although Del Toro said the three-option scheme provided stability in the first five years of the plan and left options for later years, Paxton said that method doesn\u2019t help industry as it considers workforce levels and capital investments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paxton noted that industry appreciates the large sums the Navy spent on shipbuilding in recent years. But \u201cto say that there has been a clear signal and a consistent signal over the last many years, I think industry would argue there\u2019s been some chaos and a little bit of frustration in the shifting numbers, and where we see a new shipbuilding plan every year,\u201d he said, referring to a continual string of force structure assessments that since 2020 have left companies unable to have confidence in any unveiled plan, since the next assessment is already underway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe know in the FYDP we\u2019re supposed to have some level of fidelity in that five-year plan. I think shipyards would say: \u2018If we can have that level of comfort over 10 years, that\u2019s enough runway where we can really plan what we need to do,\u2019 \u201d he said, whereas the three-pronged long-range shipbuilding plan creates uncertainty beginning in Year Six.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paxton noted the importance of hot production lines and multiyear contracts for shipbuilding, which creates the cost-savings the Navy wants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhen those things are truncated or halted, that\u2019s where you lose workforce, you lose certain suppliers, and that\u2019s where I think the difficulty comes in.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dualities are emerging in the U.S. Navy\u2019s shipbuilding plans, leaving industry to wonder what to make of the sea service\u2019s near-term spending 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