{"id":27494,"date":"2021-03-23T04:01:00","date_gmt":"2021-03-23T04:01:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2021\/03\/23\/pentagon-modernization-in-for-terrible-20s-report-warns\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:12:42","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T22:12:42","slug":"pentagon-modernization-in-for-terrible-20s-report-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/pentagon\/2021\/03\/23\/pentagon-modernization-in-for-terrible-20s-report-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"Pentagon modernization in for \u2018Terrible \u201820s,\u2019 report warns"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2014 Years of kicking the can on modernization are finally coming due for the Pentagon at a time when the Biden administration faces major pressures to draw down the defense budget, creating a nasty situation across all branches of the military. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That\u2019s the warning of a new report from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/opinion\/commentary\/2020\/04\/27\/what-the-pentagon-should-and-should-not-get-in-the-next-stimulus-bill\/\" target=_blank>Mackenzie Eaglen<\/a> and Hallie Coyne of the American Enterprise Institute, who says the DoD had best prepare for the reality of the \u201cTerrible \u201920s\u201d ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Unlike many think-tank reports, the authors say up front that they will not offer a list of programs to cut. Instead, the report goes deep on the history, current status and future plans for a myriad of Army, Navy, Marine and Air Force programs to provide an \u201cunvarnished\u201d view for the Biden administration about modernization challenges ahead, and how the military has ended up in its current predicament.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aei.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/The-2020s-Tri-Service-Modernization-Crunch.embargoed.pdf\" target=_blank>Click here to read the full report<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cPolicymakers and uniformed leaders are sleepwalking into strategic insolvency. If no action is taken, something will break and do so spectacularly,\u201d the authors write. \u201cThere is no easy way out of this fiscal bind for the US military. Rather, now is the time for effective mitigation strategies, urgent worst-case scenario planning, hard choices, and political leadership.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One notable statistic included in the report: the authors totaled 28 modernization programs that were cancelled between FY2002 and FY2012, as the department constantly shifted funds towards the ongoing war on terrorism efforts instead of towards modernization. Those programs included $81.415 billion in sunk costs, and while many of those programs did receive follow on efforts, the older programs \u201crarely significantly informed their successor programs.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For example, the Air Force spent $290 million to start its E-10 program before it was cancelled; it\u2019s follow on, a replacement for the Joint Surveillance Target Attack Radar System (JSTARS) program, went for several years before <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/air\/2018\/07\/24\/jstars-recap-is-officially-dead\/\">being cancelled in 2018<\/a> in favor of the Advanced Battle Management System, still in its early days. That\u2019s not just a sunk financial cost, but a situation where a modernization need was identified years ago but the service has yet to find an adequate solution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Future modernization challenges are broken down by service, and by two time period: fiscal year 2021-2025, and fiscal year 2026-2031. And while it eschews programmatic suggestions, it does contain direct policy suggestions, including considerations of reduced mission sets, develop new ways of working with Congress, and making sure current modernization efforts have upgradability to avoid a future spike in modernization efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThis report is intended to force a confrontation with the unvarnished reality of how much it will cost to modernize our armed forces to protect the United States\u2019 security in an era of intensifying competition with peer competitors,\u201d the authors conclude. \u201cWhile reasonable people may disagree about the judgments and calculations included herein (which we welcome the opportunity to discuss), the macro-level trajectory of our military\u2019s degrading comparative strength is indisputable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cTime and money are no longer on our side; too much of both have been wasted already.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8220;Time and money are no longer on our side; too much of both have been wasted already,&#8221; warn the authors of a new American Enterprise Institute report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":59676,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":19,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[160,36,19],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3378],"class_list":["post-27494","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-newsletters","category-pentagon"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"B7L7AK27S5GBLNYNNU35VWJ34Q","arc_canonical_url":"\/pentagon\/2021\/03\/23\/pentagon-modernization-in-for-terrible-20s-report-warns\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented 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