{"id":34322,"date":"2021-02-15T18:30:00","date_gmt":"2021-02-15T18:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2021\/02\/15\/can-the-biden-administration-break-the-cycle-of-marathon-naval-deployments-to-the-mideast\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:51:04","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T22:51:04","slug":"can-the-biden-administration-break-the-cycle-of-marathon-naval-deployments-to-the-mideast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/naval\/2021\/02\/15\/can-the-biden-administration-break-the-cycle-of-marathon-naval-deployments-to-the-mideast\/","title":{"rendered":"Can the Biden administration break the cycle of marathon naval deployments to the Mideast?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2014 By the time the crews of the<a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/naval\/2020\/04\/13\/the-us-navy-is-taking-extreme-measures-to-preserve-its-carrier-surge\/\" target=_blank> aircraft carrier Nimitz <\/a>and its escort ships step on the pier in Bremerton, Washington, they will have been away from home for almost a year, most of which will have been spent floating around in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Until the last decade, the U.S. Navy tried to limit deployments to six months to give crew members ample time for training and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/naval\/2019\/12\/20\/the-navys-set-to-kickoff-a-deep-dive-into-its-maintenance-woes\/\" target=_blank>maintenance<\/a>. But as the fleet contracted and demands remained steady \u2014 or occasionally grew \u2014 the length of Navy deployments exploded to as many as 10 months or more, forcing the fleet to fall back on extreme measures such as sending carriers out twice in the same 36-month deployment cycle, colloquially known as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/naval\/2020\/09\/20\/after-a-grueling-deployment-the-carrier-eisenhower-gets-set-for-a-dubious-double-pump\/\" target=_blank>\u201cdouble-pump\u201d deployment<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After showing signs of improvement following two deadly collisions in 2017, the Navy is again under pressure to provide aircraft carrier presence to the Middle East for the American regional force, U.S. Central Command, despite what experts say is limited public evidence that such deployments deter the United States\u2019 top geopolitical adversary in the region: Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Setting priorities<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Navy has called its current pace of operations unsustainable. Historically, long deployments with aging carriers create expensive logjams in public and private shipyards, where workers rush to fix equipment that was used in excess of what it was designed for. Delays at shipyards mean longer deployments for the ships used for forward presence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Biden administration has begun a global force posture review, like the Trump team, which also tried to pivot from heavy naval presence in the Middle East as a means of preserving forces for potential conflict in Europe or Asia. With experts and lawmakers alike intent on considering competition with China, might the new administration finally break the cycle of deploying the fleet beyond its means to service Central Command\u2019s demands?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There\u2019s reason to believe that may be the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In his confirmation hearing last month, Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told senators that while he had spent most of his career thinking about the Middle East, his arrival at the Pentagon would bring with it a focus on China. Austin, a retired Army general, led CENTCOM from 2013 to 2016.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI was focused on the Middle East for quite some time because that was the most important thing for our country,\u201d he said. \u201cSo we put our best equipment towards that effort, our best people, and it was absolutely necessary at the time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cBut if confirmed, you can expect that I\u2019ll put a laser-like focus on developing the right capabilities, plans and operational concepts that\u2019ll ensure that we maintain a competitive edge as we look at ourselves with respect to China.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Austin also told lawmakers that \u201cAsia must be the focus of our effort, and I see China in particular as a pacing challenge for the department.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s not the first time a defense secretary called for a refocus of the Defense Department\u2019s efforts toward China. But Central Command\u2019s siren song continues to draw aircraft carriers back to the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">During testimony in March 2020, Central Command chief Gen. Kenneth McKenzie told House lawmakers that the aircraft carrier \u201chas a profound deterring effect, principally upon Iran.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThey know what the carrier is. They track the presence of the carrier. And I view a carrier as a critical part of a deterrent posture effective against Iran,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/naval\/2020\/03\/24\/with-iran-tensions-high-centcom-pushes-a-dubious-carrier-strategy\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"191\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/two_carriers.JPG.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">With Iran tensions high, a US military command pushes a dubious carrier strategy<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">U.S. Central Command is doubling down on a carrier strategy of questionable value and crippling consequences for Navy readiness.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But some experts and analysts openly dismiss McKenzie\u2019s logic, noting that there is little evidence Iran was deterred by carriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Emma Ashford, a senior fellow at the Atlantic Council who focuses on Middle East issues, said there is limited benefit in keeping the carrier in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI do not believe a carrier presence is necessary for stability in the Middle East,\u201d Ashford said. \u201cThe actual strategic benefits of the carrier are relatively small, as we can use land bases to accomplish most of the same objectives should the need arise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAnd the \u2018deterrent\u2019 effects of the carrier are massively overstated. There\u2019s little evidence that a carrier would be useful against attempts to, say, close the Strait of Hormuz, and it certainly doesn\u2019t deter Iran from using proxy forces in the region.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Indeed, the presence of the Truman Carrier Strike Group in the Arabian Sea in January 2020 did not deter Iran from launching a ballistic missile strike on U.S. troops in Iraq in retaliation for the assassination of one of its top generals, even though the group would most certainly have been in a position to unleash punishing strikes if President Donald Trump had chosen that course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Partly, as Ashford noted, this is because Iran\u2019s primary methods of projecting power in the region aren\u2019t threats that can easily be bombed from carriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s an asinine strategy,\u201d Bryan Clark, a former senior aide to the chief of naval operations and now a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, told Defense News last year. \u201cThe Iranians don\u2019t perceive carriers as a threat to their ability to project power because they project power through gray zone activities and terrorism \u2014 the kinds of things that carriers aren\u2019t very good at dealing with.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Supply-based deployments<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senior Navy leadership has tried for years to move the service away from accommodating combatant commander\u2019s demands, and toward a system that provides the most forces possible that can also be properly maintained, manned, trained and equipped. This was the intention behind the Navy\u2019s Optimized Fleet Response Plan when it first rolled out in 2014: Create the maximum availability for aircraft carrier presence while preserving enough time in the schedule for maintenance and a proper pre-deployment training regime.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. has 11 carriers, but no more than eight are available for tasking at any given time. The Gerald R. Ford is not yet certified for tasking, one carrier is always in its midlife complex overhaul and refueling, and at least one other carrier is in an extended maintenance period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So among the eight remaining carriers, the fleet is generally charged with providing a carrier for the Middle East and a carrier for the Asia-Pacific region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Asia-Pacific region is covered for six months every year by the forward-deployed carrier Ronald Reagan out of Japan, but U.S.-based ships must make up the other half. And if the Pentagon doesn\u2019t want to leave the Pacific uncovered for large swathes of the year while also covering the Middle East, the Navy must maintain the deployment of two to three U.S.-based carriers year-round \u2014 an immense burden on a de facto fleet of eight aircraft carriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/naval\/2020\/02\/07\/the-us-navys-vaunted-deployment-plan-is-showing-cracks-everywhere\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"178\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/truman.jpg_bea704.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">The US Navy\u2019s vaunted deployment plan is showing cracks everywhere<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">Despite lofty promises of stability, the Navy&#039;s fleet deployment plan is a shambles.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But if combatant commanders want more than two to three carriers deployed, and if those requests are approved by the defense secretary, the Navy would have to perform scheduling backflips that eat away at its deployment cycle schedule. Endemic maintenance delays for carriers, surface ships and attack submarines also eat into the schedule, making time a scarce resource for the fleet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Furthermore, deploying the fleet significantly longer than the traditional six-month deployment creates more maintenance problems as parts break or need replaced \u2014 something that also eats into the schedule.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In January, Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday said that if the Navy is to effectively modernize for the future force while maintaining current presence missions, the service must be used as a supply-based service rather than meeting \u201can insatiable demand signal.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Without specifically mentioning a region, Gilday told reporters that combatant commanders must make do with the force the service is able to adequately man, train and equip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIf you look at the Navy, on any given day I got about a third of the fleet at sea,\u201d he said. \u201cAnd so here\u2019s the way I present that as a service chief to the secretary of defense and the chairman [of the Joint Chiefs of Staff]: I say, \u2018Look, the Navy\u2019s got 100 players on the field today. How you want to use those 100 players, you have to decide.\u2019<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThis is where it comes back to a [National Defense Strategy] that\u2019s really driving the department to be priorities-driven and supply-based. Because if you don\u2019t, then \u2026 rebuilding readiness? You can never get there, you\u2019re in this rut.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u2018Unrealistic\u2019<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The hard truth of the matter is that the Navy has little control over how its forces are used; it merely provides ready forces, Gilday explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201c[The combatant commanders] are controlling those assets, and it\u2019s the secretary that has to control how those assets are apportioned across those COCOMs [combatant commands] to be used,\u201d the chief said. \u201cDepending on how the priorities shift from day to day, Iran is probably the most likely threat and China is the most dangerous.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Clark, of the Hudson Institute, said in a February interview that moving to a supply-based model is essential a way for the Navy to find a sustainable pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"8256\" height=\"5504\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-53249\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg 8256w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg?resize=300,200 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg?resize=768,512 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,683 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1024 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6471878.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1365 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 8256px) 100vw, 8256px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">An F-15E Strike Eagle, deployed to the 332d Air Expeditionary Wing, prepares for takeoff just as the sun sets at in undisclosed location in Southwest Asia. The 332 AEW works around the clock to support Operation Inherent Resolve. (Air National Guard photo by Master Sgt. Jonathan Young)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cYou\u2019ve got to look at a supply-based model of what the current force can deliver over time, and then that\u2019s what\u2019s available through the global force management process,\u201d Clark said, referencing the Pentagon\u2019s process of reviewing combatant commanders\u2019 requests for forces. \u201cAnd then you have the COCOMs actually start doing some strategy.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe other thing is figure out what are some alternative ways to provide capabilities in theater,\u201d he added. \u201cThe Navy sort of created this problem for itself by arguing that the carrier strike group is the main unit of issue of naval forces. You condition the COCOMs to say, \u2018I want a carrier in CENTCOM, I need a carrier,\u2019 when an amphibious ready group may actually be a more appropriate force package \u2014 especially in Central Command.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Navy has found ways to catch its breath in the recent past. In September 2018, <a href=\"https:\/\/news.usni.org\/2018\/09\/26\/aircraft-carrier-deployments-25-year-low\">USNI News reported<\/a> that the service was at a 25-year low for carrier deployments as the force tried to reset from years of burnout and overuse. In recent years, the Navy has left the Middle East bereft of a carrier for months at a time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But to Bryan McGrath, a former destroyer skipper who now works as a defense consultant with The FerryBridge Group, moving to a solely supply-based model is unlikely to work. \u201cEither a supply- or a demand-based force is equally unrealistic,\u201d he said. \u201cA supply-based force is unrealistic because it ignores the predilections of presidents and combatant commanders to wish to have forces available to prevent conflict to assure allies and to win wars. And a demand-based force is unrealistic because it is unaffordable. Because if you added up all the demands, you wind up with an 800-ship Navy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cRealism is some sort of a hybrid between supply and demand. And a recognition that there will be times when the national command authority makes requests of the Navy that drive it into a sine wave of readiness. We must do our very best to be able to ascertain, one, what readiness means and, two, what getting back to readiness means when we have hit one of those readiness troughs.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. Central Command\u2019s siren song continues to draw aircraft carriers back to the Middle East.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":6330,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":16,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[160,29,162,89,16,36],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3361],"class_list":["post-34322","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-digital-show-dailies","category-digital-show-daily","category-idex","category-naval","category-newsletters"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"H25RFAG53RF73PGIBH5SJQCB4I","arc_canonical_url":"\/naval\/2021\/02\/15\/can-the-biden-administration-break-the-cycle-of-marathon-naval-deployments-to-the-mideast\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Can the Biden administration break the cycle of marathon naval deployments to the Mideast? - Defense News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"U.S. Central Command\u2019s siren song continues to draw aircraft carriers back to the Middle East.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/naval\/2021\/02\/15\/can-the-biden-administration-break-the-cycle-of-marathon-naval-deployments-to-the-mideast\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Can the Biden administration break the cycle of marathon naval deployments to the Mideast?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"U.S. Central Command\u2019s siren song continues to draw aircraft carriers back to the Middle East.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/naval\/2021\/02\/15\/can-the-biden-administration-break-the-cycle-of-marathon-naval-deployments-to-the-mideast\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Defense News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-02-15T18:30:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-07T22:51:04+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"David B. Larter\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"David B. 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