{"id":35373,"date":"2017-11-21T20:30:53","date_gmt":"2017-11-21T20:30:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2017\/11\/21\/after-holiday-break-shutdown-threat-looms-for-congress\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T22:52:34","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T22:52:34","slug":"after-holiday-break-shutdown-threat-looms-for-congress","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/congress\/budget\/2017\/11\/21\/after-holiday-break-shutdown-threat-looms-for-congress\/","title":{"rendered":"After holiday break, shutdown threat looms for Congress"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WASHINGTON \u2014 After Congress returns from its Thanksgiving recess, budget forecasters are hoping for a year-end spending deal, a pre-Christmas miracle to avert a government shutdown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But by no means is a deal in hand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Multiple reports suggest that as 2017 winds down, a showdown is heating up over whether any spending deal will include a remedy for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as minors. House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis., has said no, but a bloc of House Democrats have demanded it for their votes on any year-end funding bill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Though federal spending runs out Dec. 8, Ryan has hinted there will be another stopgap continuing resolution, or CR, to keep the government open while lawmakers wrangle. He has said he expects a spending deal to be final by year\u2019s end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Roman Schweizer, an analyst and managing director at the Cowen Washington Research Group, said in a note to investors he expects a deal before the new year \u2014 as opposed to a long-term CR \u2014 and potentially a two-year deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cA two-year deal makes a lot of sense\u201d because Congress has amended budget caps two years at a time before, because it would avoid having to make another deal in an election year and because \u201ca hold-your-nose catchall bill\u201d with enough vote-getting provisions will win passage, said Schweitzer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lawmakers are reportedly considering a GOP proposal of a two-year budget deal that would raise 2011 Budget Control Act caps for defense by $54 billion and nondefense funds by $37 billion in both fiscal 2018 and 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Congressional defense hawks have howled<\/a> over that possibility, that budget caps would be set at $603 billion for defense. The 2018 National Defense Authorization Act<\/a> that passed the House and Senate earlier this month authorized much more: $626.4 billion in base defense spending and $8 billion in defense funds authorized in other committees.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The defense industry applauded passage of the NDAA earlier this month, but not reports of the potentially lower top-line for the Pentagon. The National Defense Industrial Association expressed its own concerns in a Nov. 20 statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNDIA urges swift action to reach a budget agreement that provides sufficient defense funds for the remainder of FY 2018,\u201d the statement reads. \u201cIt must also meet the needs indicated in the soon-to-be-released National Defense Strategy and Nuclear Posture Review that will drive the FY 2019 budget request and Future Years Defense Program.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some arguments are emerging for Democrats to push back both against the higher top-line and \u2014 linked to defense \u2014 tax reform. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a Center for a New American Security podcast posted Nov. 20, former U.S. Army Secretary Eric Fanning, due to become the chief of the Aerospace Industries Association in 2018, expressed skepticism about the force structure growth mandated by the NDAA.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fanning flipped on its head a hawkish argument for the NDAA: that it provides troops with needed readiness funding. He argued that what it provides for training and modernization was not enough for the force-structure boost.
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cI think we hadn\u2019t properly resourced the force that we had, and if there\u2019s going to be an emphasis on growing the number of Marines, ships and fighter squadrons, I\u2019m concerned that we won\u2019t get enough money for that,\u201d Fanning said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Fears have surfaced<\/a> that the GOP tax plan, unless it is revenue-neutral, will add downward pressure on future defense budgets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

In a Nov. 15 letter<\/a> to senior congressional leaders, three former defense secretaries who served under President Barack Obama \u2014 Leon Panetta, Chuck Hagel and Ash Carter \u2014 warned that because the tax plan is expected to increase the debt, passing it will probably mean future cuts to Pentagon budgets \u201cfor training, maintenance, force structure, flight missions, procurement and other key programs.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe result is the growing danger of a \u2018hollowed out\u2019 military force that lacks the ability to sustain the intensive deployment requirements of our global defense mission,\u201d the letter reads. \u201cThe Navy\u2019s recent report on the causes of the two destroyer collisions<\/a> with civilian cargo ships that took the lives of 17 seamen confirms the lack of adequate training.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

House Armed Services Committee ranking member Rep. Adam Smith, D-Wash., made a similar argument in a floor speech a day earlier, that GOP tax reform plans would \u201cundermine the ability to fund\u201d the NDAA\u2019s spending plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWe are having this debate now and talking about how underfunded the military is and how badly we need to shore up our readiness,\u201d Smith said. \u201cThe rest of the week, we will make sure how our government takes in trillions of dollars less money. That is wildly inconsistent. If we believe we have these needs, we ought to be able to pay for them.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

After Congress returns from its Thanksgiving recess, budget forecasters are hoping for a year-end spending deal, a pre-Christmas miracle to avert a government 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