{"id":39033,"date":"2020-03-09T20:46:58","date_gmt":"2020-03-09T20:46:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2020\/03\/09\/coronavirus-shaking-up-americas-defense-industry\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T23:04:30","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T23:04:30","slug":"coronavirus-shaking-up-americas-defense-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/congress\/2020\/03\/09\/coronavirus-shaking-up-americas-defense-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"Coronavirus shaking up America\u2019s defense industry"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WASHINGTON \u2015 The U.S. aerospace and defense sector is feeling the impact of the coronavirus, with companies limiting travel, defense trade events scuttled and contingency planning underway.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As stocks fell sharply Monday on a combination of coronavirus fears and plunging oil prices, defense firms were girding for the worst and looking to the White House for guidance. The comments came days after spread of the coronavirus forced the weeklong closure of two F-35 related facilities<\/a> in Italy and Japan\u2015a sign the outbreak had begun to impact operations within the American defense industrial base.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe normal ways of doing business are definitely going to change,\u201d said Aerospace Industries Association CEO Eric Fanning. \u201cWe\u2019re trying to get to the place where we\u2019re not reacting on a day-to-day basis to what\u2019s happening and getting in front of some of these things and maybe making some proactive decisions. But everyone is kind of looking to everyone else to take the lead on how to address this.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lockheed, Raytheon and Honeywell were among dozens of companies that pulled out<\/a> of last month\u2019s Singapore Air Show,<\/a> which is typically the largest defense trade show in Asia\u2015and SXSW, a show AIA participates in, was cancelled. The two offer a glimpse into how fears of corona virus could impact other defense trade shows and conferences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt felt like a ghost town. It definitely was a strange experience,\u201d Fanning said about the Singapore conference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While it\u2019s easy to overstate the importance of trade shows in cementing major deals, the deals announced at the shows are often worked out in advance, Fanning said. Still, the shows are still valuable for face-to-face networking between international defense officials and industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of Monday, the National Defense Industrial Association still planned to hold its Special Operations Forces Industry Conference in Tampa, Fla., this May. Its 2020 Pacific Operational Science and Technology Conference in Honolulu was ongoing this week, with more than 700 attendees, a spokeswoman said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At least one major defense firm, Boeing, has limited its employees to \u201cbusiness-essential\u201d travel, and it has been rescheduling some events, reducing face-to-face meetings in favor of virtual meetings, enabling telecommuting when possible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThese measures are temporary and aimed to prevent the spread of the virus, shorten its impact and ensure the health and safety of our employees as well as the general public,” a Boeing spokesman said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Vice President Mike Pence, right, along with Florida Sen. Rick Scott, left, and Gov. Ron DeSantis, center, speaks to the media after a meeting with cruise line company leaders to discuss the efforts to fight the spread of the COVID-19 coronavirus, at Port Everglades, Saturday in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. (Gaston De Cardenas\/AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The virus has infected more than 110,000 people worldwide, and Italy on Sunday followed China\u2019s lead in quarantining a big swath of its country in hopes of corralling the spread. That sparked more fears in the financial markets that quarantines would snarl supply chains for companies even more than they already have.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While COVID-19\u2019s long term impacts on the defense aerospace industry may take time to manifest, they could be complicated by the uncertainty of the financial market and ongoing trade wars with China, according to Fanning and others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSupply chains are global, they\u2019re inter-related, they\u2019re incredibly complex. Having real good situational awareness into them is difficult to begin with, then you add any instability on top of it, it gets harder. And this definitely is added to that,\u201d Fanning said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new coronavirus is now spreading on every continent except Antarctica and hurting consumer spending, industrial production, and travel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As COVID-19 spreads around the world, many investors feel helpless in trying to estimate how much it will hurt the economy and corporate profits, and the easiest response to such uncertainty may be to get out. After initially taking an optimistic view on the virus \u2014 hoping that it would remain mostly in China and cause just a short-term disruption \u2014 investors are realizing they likely woefully underestimated it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On Monday, the Dow Jones U.S. Aerospace & Defense Index was down 26 percent over the last month, lagging the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which was down 18 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDefense should do relatively better [than consumer sectors], but it\u2019s not gonna be immune,\u201d said Byron Callan, a policy research expert at Capital Alpha Partners. \u201cIt\u2019s gonna catch a mild fever where, you know, there are gonna be other parts of the U.S. economy that are gonna be in a critical situation.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBuy-America\u201d regulations and other controls mean the U.S. defense industry\u2019s supply chains may be less susceptible to disruption than some consumer sectors, where reliance on China-made components is more widespread\u2015and few, if any supply chains are as globally linked as the F-35\u2019s, said U.S. Chamber of Commerce\u2019s Defense and Aerospace Export Council\u2019s president, Keith Webster.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cI would say in the U.S. defense sector\u2019s supply chain is less vulnerable than maybe a product in the commercial sector, but we\u2019ll have to see,\u201d Webster said. \u201cIf this continues across the F-35 partner nations, with their industrial sharing, one could see an impact.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On the flip side, China\u2019s weeks-long factory closures could eventually see parallels in the U.S., if the virus is not quickly contained. White collar employees may be able to telecommute, but if skilled laborers are forced to stay home, that could mean problems for the primes and their lower-tier suppliers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAre there parallels to China in the U.S.? We don’t know,\u201d Webster said. \u201cThe first step is containment, and the next step is mitigation. China went into mitigation very quickly, which is keeping everybody home. We\u2019re just beginning to see that thought process here.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Short of factory closings, factory workers staying home for school closures or to care for sick relatives could trigger work slow downs, particularly at the lower tiers of the supply chain, especially the ones that rely on smaller pools of workers. Those companies could suffer too if they rely on the commercial side of the aerospace sector, which is expected to be harder hit, Callan said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cYou can see the ramifications on the pace of work, but it\u2019s not like the airline industry or the cruise ship industry where all of a sudden none of your customers show up,\u201d Callan said, adding: \u201cThere could be a cascading effect from some commercial aerospace. Again, it\u2019s at very, very small level, but it\u2019s still a factor.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Associated Press and Aaron Mehta contributed to this report. <\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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