{"id":39050,"date":"2015-04-01T19:13:31","date_gmt":"2015-04-01T19:13:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2015\/04\/01\/analysts-stable-outlook-for-defense-sector\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T23:08:20","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T23:08:20","slug":"analysts-stable-outlook-for-defense-sector","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/pentagon\/2015\/04\/01\/analysts-stable-outlook-for-defense-sector\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysts: Stable Outlook for Defense Sector"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2014 Modest improvements to the defense spending climate, buoyed by strong commercial sales, creates a stable environment in the defense sector, the credit rating agency Moody&#8217;s said in its monthly outlook for the global aerospace and defense industry published Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Continuing demand for commercial aircraft will help offset the pressure of tight Pentagon budgets, allowing overall operating profit growth of between 2 and 4 percent over the next 12 to 18 months, Moody&#8217;s projected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Our more optimistic view of profit growth reflects an improving (albeit still pressured) defense budgetary climate, ongoing cost reduction initiatives and related improvements in operating efficiencies,&#8221; the outlook states. &#8220;The recovering US economy and elevated geopolitical risk appear to be fueling support in Washington for an increase in fiscal 2016 defense spending above sequestration caps.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While there are indications that Congress is willing to fund the Defense Department above the levels set by 2011&#8217;s Budget Control Act, fiscal hawks will likely limit the DoD&#8217;s base budget growth to single digits through 2020, according to the outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Byron Callan, managing director of Capital Alpha Partners, also pointed to growing geopolitical instability in his April scorecard for the defense industry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It is too soon to forecast the effects of the Saudi-led intervention in Yemen, but its success or failure could have implications for the industry, particularly high-end weapon buys, Callan noted. The possibility of a Russian offensive in Ukraine and counter-ISIS activities may also help create a more positive outlook for major contractors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;US defense investment spending is on the verge of a multi-year upturn,&#8221; the scorecard states. As the DoD is able to better plan ahead, major weapon modernization programs will see increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Callan also projects operating margins to be stable or to increase, depending on the company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span>Email: <\/span><a href=\"mailto:aclevenger@defensenews.com\">aclevenger@defensenews.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Twitter: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/andclev\" title=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/andclev\">@andclev<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Modest improvements to the defense spending climate, buoyed by strong commercial sales, creates a stable environment in the defense sector, the credit rating agency Moody&#8217;s said in its monthly outlook for the global aerospace and defense industry published 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