{"id":39857,"date":"2015-03-14T16:22:12","date_gmt":"2015-03-14T16:22:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2015\/03\/14\/ex-minister-uk-needs-9b-annual-boost\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T23:14:32","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T23:14:32","slug":"ex-minister-uk-needs-9b-annual-boost","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/pentagon\/2015\/03\/14\/ex-minister-uk-needs-9b-annual-boost\/","title":{"rendered":"Ex-Minister: UK Needs $9B Annual Boost"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">LONDON \u2014 Britain will need to find an extra \u00a36 billion (US $9 billion) a year by the end of the decade to keep its defense budget in line with the NATO mandated spending level of 2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), a former defense minister said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nick Harvey, the Liberal Democrat defense spokesman in Parliament and the Armed Forces minister between 2010 and 2012, said figures that emerged <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">last week <\/span>in a think tank report on potential British cuts were pretty much in line with his understanding at the time of his departure from the MoD. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The Royal United Services Institute [RUSI] work accords very much with my recollection of the figures when I left the MoD over two years ago. &#8230; By the end of the [next] Parliament, with no more defense cuts at all, the gap between the defense budget and what is likely to be 2 percent of the GDP by 2019 will be getting toward \u00a36 billion,&#8221; Harvey said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;This is why neither George Osborne [the chancellor of the Exchequer] or anybody else has been in any great hurry to commit firmly to the 2 percent because of the sums of money which will have to be found to achieve that,&#8221; he told reporters during a briefing March 11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">None of the leading political parties have so far committed to maintaining NATO spending levels beyond the next financial year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ahead of a general election scheduled for May 7, a major row has broken out here over potentially significant defense spending cuts as part of an expected new round of austerity measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;We know a lot more needs to be done to tackle the deficit and as yet nobody [in government] has come forward and suggested defense can be protected from that, and therefore some very painful decisions look likely to be facing whoever the ministers are,&#8221; Harvey said. &#8220;If you think we faced some pretty unpalatable choices in the 2010 strategic defense and security review, and we certainly did, then I can see it is going to be every bit as difficult this time around.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 2010, the government axed Harrier jump jets, maritime patrol aircraft, surface warships and other capabilities as well as slashing equipment programs and personnel numbers <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">as part of an effort <\/span>to reduce defense spending. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p> Harvey added, however, <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">said though <\/span>that like in 2010, defense would not &#8220;get the worst of what&#8217;s coming in the comprehensive spending review because it&#8217;s an unstable world.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A government spokesperson declined to address the possible \u00a36 billion shortfall but said, &#8220;Decisions on spending after the financial year 2015-16 will be determined in the next spending review.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The question of whether Britain will continue to meet or beat the NATO spending target has become a central issue in the row that has involved politicians, retired senior officers and others. Even US President Barrack Obama and US Army Chief Gen. Ray Odierno have voiced their concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>British Defence Secretary Michael Fallon visited Washington last week for discussions with his new US counterpart, Ash<span class=\"rte rte-comment\">ton<\/span> Carter, and used a speech at a think tank to try to <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">and <\/span>counter the growing view that UK defense capabilities are diminishing to the point where, as Odierno said, British forces would have to fight inside American formations rather than alongside. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Liberal Democrats are the junior partner in the Conservative-led government and could play a role in the formation of the next administration. The opinion polls here are showing a coalition or a minority government could emerge after May 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">RUSI said that in the &#8220;context of the wider austerity in public spending, such an increase [which the think tank estimated marginally lower at \u00a35.9 billion, rather than Harvey&#8217;s \u00a36 billion figure] is not plausible.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rather than an increase, RUSI said it was likely there would be cuts and mapped out two scenarios citing possible spending reductions of between 8.7 percent and 17.5 percent against a baseline figure for 2016-17 of \u00a334.3 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In a March 12 parliamentary debate on defense spending levels, Conservative lawmaker John Baron said that while the NATO figure was arbitrary and spending should reflect the capabilities desired, &#8220;the 2<span class=\"rte rte-comment\">two<\/span> percent does have a symbolic value. Having lectured other NATO members [at the NATO summit last September] about its importance, we should lead by example.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The British are hovering on the cusp of the 2 percent mark for this year and are expected to fall below that <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">the mandated <\/span>level for the first time next year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The US, Greece, Estonia and Britain are the only NATO nations that currently meet the required spending level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last week it emerged the Conservatives were trying to finesse spending numbers by including items such as <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">, like <\/span>military pensions, which had <span class=\"rte rte-comment\">have <\/span>not previously been included in the defense budget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Email: <span><a href=\"mailto:achuter@defensenews.com\">achuter@defensenews.com<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Britain will need to find an extra \u00a36 billion (US $9 billion) a year by the end of the decade to keep its defense budget in line with the NATO mandated spending level of 2 percent of gross domestic product 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