{"id":47296,"date":"2020-05-21T18:09:45","date_gmt":"2020-05-21T18:09:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2020\/05\/21\/covid-19-is-probably-going-to-put-a-dent-in-military-manpower\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T13:31:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T13:31:08","slug":"covid-19-is-probably-going-to-put-a-dent-in-military-manpower","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/coronavirus\/2020\/05\/21\/covid-19-is-probably-going-to-put-a-dent-in-military-manpower\/","title":{"rendered":"COVID-19 is probably going to put a dent in military manpower"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Defense Department is bracing for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/05\/11\/what-if-military-recruiting-could-screen-for-wash-outs\/\" target=_blank>manning<\/a> gap this year, the Pentagon\u2019s top personnel official told reporters Thursday, after the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/05\/21\/the-ban-on-covid-19-survivors-joining-up-has-lifted-but-some-cases-could-still-be-denied\/\" target=_blank>COVID-19 pandemic<\/a> forced the services to slow their intake of new troops.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While almost all<a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/news\/your-military\/2020\/05\/20\/the-military-needs-a-real-plan-to-recruit-and-retain-women-report-finds\/\" target=_blank> recruiting<\/a> shops have moved online and continued to bring in new prospective troops, social distancing measures at military entrance processing stations and reception units have throttled the number of new trainees coming in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cSo we haven\u2019t really seen a drop in recruiting at all, but the accessions throughput has slowed down,\u201d Matthew Donovan, defense under secretary for personnel and readiness, told Military Times. \u201cSo we expect that there may be some shortfall in end strength by the end of the year, but the services are doing a lot of mitigation.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every year, military manpower is balanced out by recruiting and retaining a certain number of troops, as regular attrition for retirements and discharges cuts into end strength numbers. Each service\u2019s manpower offices can tweak these numbers by offering enlistment or retention bonuses in times when they need to plus-up, or by tightening standards when they need to draw down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As accessions have slowed in the first half of this year, Donovan said, the services have been more flexible in their retention efforts, to make up for the shortfall on the back end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWhat they\u2019ve done is they\u2019ve put in voluntary extensions of reenlistment periods or voluntary dates of separation being pushed out,\u201d he said. \u201cAnd you could go to the services for more detail, but that has been effective so far.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/armytimes\/news\/your-army\/2020\/05\/20\/army-retention-rises-as-economy-slumps-but-recruiting-hasnt-seen-a-boom-yet\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/3396513.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">Army retention rises as economy slumps, but recruiting hasn\u2019t seen a boom yet<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">The general in charge of Army recruiting said the economic downturn doesn&#039;t appear to have impacted enlistments \u2014 yet.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As military recruiting and retention is largely driven by the economy, the COVID-19 pandemic might end up reducing a trend over the past half-decade. With so many out of work, it\u2019s likely that more qualified Americans will be seriously considering joining the military for job stability, while at the same time, those who have been serving could be less likely to leave.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe recent economic downturn has improved recruiting and retention and has allowed the services to reduce use of enlistment and reenlistment bonuses,\u201d according to a <a href=\"https:\/\/militarypay.defense.gov\/Portals\/3\/Documents\/Reports\/SR05_Chapter_2.pdf\" target=_blank>2012 research paper<\/a> funded by DoD. \u201cHowever, this improvement is expected to diminish as civilian economic conditions improve.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Allowing service members who are nearing the ends of their contracts to have more time to decide whether to reenlist, or to extend their termination dates, not only keeps end strength numbers up, but prevents them from separating from the military and struggling to find a job in a down economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Donovan offered the pilot community as a salient example of retention in a volatile job market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cBecause the commercial airlines now are not really hiring \u2015 and so a lot of our pilots that are exiting, retiring or separating go to the airlines \u2015 and so that\u2019s helping us with that retention,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Slowed accessions could put a dent in end strength, despite efforts to retain more 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