{"id":57195,"date":"2018-11-02T15:24:45","date_gmt":"2018-11-02T15:24:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2018\/11\/02\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:14:16","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:14:16","slug":"heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/smr\/2018\/11\/02\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\/","title":{"rendered":"Here\u2019s when all of America\u2019s new nuclear warhead designs will be active \u2014 and how much they\u2019ll cost"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2014 Estimates for the cost of America\u2019s nuclear warheads have gone up in the last year, as the government prepares to develop and maintain as many as nine new systems in the next 25 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The National Nuclear Security Administration\u2019s fiscal 2019 Stockpile Stewardship and Management Plan, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.energy.gov\/sites\/prod\/files\/2018\/10\/f57\/FY2019%20SSMP.pdf\" target=_blank>released Thursday<\/a> lays out the investments that could be needed for the NNSA over the next two and a half decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The NNSA is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/space\/2017\/12\/12\/trump-announces-pick-for-nuclear-weapons-czar\/\" target=_blank>semiautonomous department<\/a> within the Department of Energy. While the Defense Department manages the delivery systems of the nuclear force \u2014 ships, planes and missiles \u2014 NNSA oversees the development, maintenance and disposal of nuclear warheads.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, NNSA costs are not just about the warheads, as requirements range from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/space\/2016\/10\/21\/nnsa-pentagon-tracking-nuclear-infrastructure-bills\/\" target=\"_blank\">upgrading aging infrastructure<\/a>, to increasing the production of plutonium pits, to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/unmanned\/2018\/06\/14\/us-nuclear-weapons-lab-deploys-drone-disabling-system\/\" target=\"_blank\">securing facilities<\/a>. The agency expects capital investments during this period could require spending between $61.1 billion and $90.7 billion, for example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the overall cost of replacing America\u2019s nuclear arsenal <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/breaking-news\/2017\/10\/31\/americas-nuclear-weapons-will-cost-12-trillion-over-the-next-30-years\/\" target=\"_blank\">will be much higher<\/a> when factoring in the development of new cruise missiles, intercontinental ballistic missiles and bomber aircraft.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/smr\/nuclear-triad\/2018\/02\/08\/gao-says-nuclear-warhead-office-still-cant-afford-planned-modernization\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"199\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ALCM_LRSO_Resize.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">GAO says nuclear warhead office still can\u2019t afford planned modernization<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">The government watchdog warns that the agency has not taken steps to address the wide gaps in requested funding and the expected costs of several nuclear modernization programs.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kingston Reif of the Arms Control Association said the report \u201chighlights the enormous scope of work already on NNSA\u2019s overburdened plate, and the additional work that the Nuclear Posture Review proposes to pile on top.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">He pointed to a chart in the report showing NNSA\u2019s budgetary estimate for the next 25 years has grown significantly in the year since the FY18 estimate \u2014 by about $75 billion over the previous estimate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cNNSA claims that this increase \u2018is generally affordable and executable,\u2019 but that&#8217;s wishful thinking,\u201d Reif said, noting previous concerns raised by the Government Accountability Office that NNSA could not meet its requirements with its planned budget.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The cost increase is partly driven by the Trump administration\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/space\/2018\/02\/02\/nuclear-posture-review-puts-russia-firmly-in-crosshairs\/\" target=_blank>Nuclear Posture Review<\/a>. Released early this year, the NPR called for two new nuclear warhead designs as well as an overall recommitment to the nuclear triad.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"594\" height=\"540\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/nnsa3.JPG.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-115273\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/nnsa3.JPG.jpg 594w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/nnsa3.JPG.jpg?resize=300,273 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 594px) 100vw, 594px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A chart showing estimated cost projections for NNSA&#8217;s weapon activities over the next 25 years. The yellow line represents estimates from FY18&#8217;s report; when tracked against the red and blue lines, representing the high and low ranges of cost estimates, cost growth is visible. (NNSA)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Here are the major warhead programs the agency is tracking as it assesses the nuclear stockpile for the next 25 years:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>W76-1<\/b> \u2014 The W76-1, which is placed on the re-entry vehicle for the submarine-launched Trident II ballistic missile, will be the first completed program, with production slated to be finished during this fiscal year, NNSA estimates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Completing that program is a major milestone, not just because of the capability it will provide, but because it is the first of the major life-extension programs NNSA has underway \u2014 something of a proof-of-concept for the agency going forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>W76-2<\/b> \u2014 A new <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/space\/2018\/02\/02\/the-us-could-be-getting-2-new-nuclear-capabilities-here-are-the-details\/\" target=\"_blank\">low-yield nuclear warhead<\/a> first announced in the Nuclear Posture Review, the W76-2 is the newest design, and hence in the earliest stages. The agency does not offer up an estimated price tag for the program, but the administration <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/smr\/nuclear-triad\/2018\/04\/17\/trump-administration-repurposes-65-million-for-new-nuclear-warhead-design\/\" target=\"_blank\">repurposed $65 million in funding<\/a> during FY19 to begin development on the weapon, a variant on the W76-1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Production for the W76-2 is slated to go into FY24, but whether it gets there depends on the outcome of next week\u2019s midterm elections. Democrats oppose the warhead design, and Rep. Adam Smith of Washington, who is expected to become chairman of the House Armed Services Committee should Democrats take the House, said he will <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/smr\/defense-news-conference\/2018\/09\/05\/cuts-to-nuclear-spending-and-oversight-of-socom-what-to-expect-from-a-democratic-hasc\/\" target=\"_blank\">look to kill the development<\/a> and use those funds elsewhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>B61-12<\/b> \u2014 The B61-12 program, which will replace the B61-3, -4, -7 and -10 variants with a new warhead design, will deliver its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/space\/2018\/10\/01\/americas-newest-nuclear-gravity-bomb-completes-design-review\/\" target=_blank>first production unit<\/a> in FY20 and complete production by FY24. NNSA estimates the program will cost between $7.3 and $9.5 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The B61 is America\u2019s nuclear gravity bomb, and its upgraded variant will be certified on the B-2 the future B-21 , America\u2019s F-15, and F-16 fighter aircraft, and British and German Tornado aircraft under a NATO agreement. The F-35 is also planned to go through certification on the weapon at some point in the next decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>W88 Alt 370<\/b> \u2014 This program, another warhead update for the Trident II ballistic missile, will deliver its first production unit by December 2019, with complete alternations by FY24. The life-extension program adds new fuzes and other technology to update the warhead. The program faces \u201ca continued risk of late component design changes,\u201d in part because the warhead is a co-design between the Air Force and Navy. NNSA estimates the program will cost between $2.4 billion and $3.1 billion, with $2.6 billion as the more likely cost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>W80-4<\/b> \u2014 This warhead design is for the Air Force\u2019s long-range standoff weapon, or LRSO, a new air-launched nuclear cruise missile. Because the warhead is being designed at the same time as the LRSO delivery system \u2014 the first time in 30 years the two have been done in parallel \u2014 the program faces \u201cunique\u201d risks, the NNSA report says.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In addition, the program \u201cexperienced a loss of $120 million in productivity due to delays associated with Continuing Resolutions since the beginning of FY 2016. As a result, ramp-up of management and operating program staffing was constrained for 3 years across the entire nuclear security enterprise,\u201d leading to a four-month delay from where the program ideally should be, the report states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, the agency estimates a program cost of $7.6 billion to $11.7 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/congress\/2018\/09\/11\/nuclear-weapons-budget-gets-boost-in-us-spending-bill\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"196\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/A3-Minuteman-in-Silo-4204337.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">Nuclear weapons budget gets boost in US spending bill<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">Congress could, in the coming days, finalize a nuclear weapons budget that adds millions of dollars.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>W78 replacement warhead<\/b> \u2014 Designed to go aboard the Air Force\u2019s next-generation ICBM, currently being competed as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/air\/2017\/08\/21\/boeing-northrop-move-forward-on-next-gen-icbm-program-lockheed-out\" target=\"_blank\">Ground Based Strategic Deterrent program<\/a>, it is the furthest out of the programs. The system was originally scheduled to go live in FY25, but a decision made in 2014 pushed the delivery date to FY30. Notably, NNSA now seeks to advance the program by a year in order to best sync up with the GBSD development schedule.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cProduction is predicated on all newly manufactured components and a nuclear material manufacturing modernization strategy that relies on large, multi-year investments in component and material capabilities,\u201d the report notes. \u201cProgram success is contingent on the development of new technologies to address antiquated design, material obsolescence, and performance expectations.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The agency estimates the cost of the program will be between $9.9 billion and $15.1 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Other future systems <\/b>\u2014 NNSA says it will support the Pentagon as it launched an analysis of alternatives on a still-unnamed sea-launched cruise missile, the second new system announced in the Nuclear Posture Review. Until that program is completed, however, the agency will not start a formal program. And like the W76-2, the future of this system may depend on election outcomes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">NNSA also has space for two systems labeled Ballistic Missile Warhead (IW or BM-Y) and Ballistic Missile Warhead (IW or BM-Z), essentially two future warhead designs that could replace the W78. The cost estimate for the BM-Y ranges from $12.7 billion to $18.9 billion, with production starting around FY35; the estimate for BM-Z ranges from $14.2 billion to $20.6 billion, with production starting around FY41.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"827\" height=\"571\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/NNSA_CHart2.JPG.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-115276\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/NNSA_CHart2.JPG.jpg 827w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/NNSA_CHart2.JPG.jpg?resize=300,207 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/NNSA_CHart2.JPG.jpg?resize=768,530 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 827px) 100vw, 827px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A chart from an NNSA report showing estimated cost ranges for key warhead modernization programs. (NNSA)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i>Updated 11\/2\/18 at 5:27 PM EST with Young\u2019s updated tweet.<\/i><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/StephenUCS\/status\/1058449415768338432\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/StephenUCS\/status\/1058449415768338432<\/a><\/blockquote><\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>America will be spending a lot on nuclear weapons in the coming years. Here&#8217;s what the Trump administration will get.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":66317,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":30,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":{"2":{"categories":["pentagon-congress","news"],"primary_category":"pentagon-congress"},"4":{"categories":["pentagon-congress","news","daily-news-roundup","newsletters"],"primary_category":"pentagon-congress"},"7":{"categories":["pentagon-congress","news","daily-news-roundup","newsletters"],"primary_category":"pentagon-congress"}}},"categories":[160,163,36,124,19,23,30],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3378],"class_list":["post-57195","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-military-space-report","category-newsletters","category-nuclear-arsenal","category-pentagon","category-space","category-smr"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"XS3VVZEHTZBPRPBOGXO6ZTR2IQ","arc_canonical_url":"\/smr\/2018\/11\/02\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Here\u2019s when all of America\u2019s new nuclear warhead designs will be active \u2014 and how much they\u2019ll cost - Defense News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"America will be spending a lot on nuclear weapons in the coming years. 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Here&#039;s what the Trump administration will get.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/smr\/2018\/11\/02\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Defense News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-11-02T15:24:45+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-08T00:14:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Aaron Mehta\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Aaron Mehta\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Article\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"migration\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cc76c831bb37a926738c8391fca7a3b1\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"Here\u2019s when all of America\u2019s new nuclear warhead designs will be active \u2014 and how much they\u2019ll cost\",\n\t            \"datePublished\": \"2018-11-02T15:24:45+00:00\",\n\t            \"dateModified\": \"2026-08-08T00:14:16+00:00\",\n\t            \"mainEntityOfPage\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"wordCount\": 1209,\n\t            \"commentCount\": 0,\n\t            \"publisher\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/#organization\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"image\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/#primaryimage\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"thumbnailUrl\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/08\\\/lawrence-livermore-nnsa-facility.jpg.jpg\",\n\t            \"articleSection\": [\n\t                \"Daily News Roundup\",\n\t                \"Military Space Report\",\n\t                \"Newsletters\",\n\t                \"Nuclear Arsenal\",\n\t                \"Pentagon\",\n\t                \"Space\",\n\t                \"Special Multimedia Reports\"\n\t            ],\n\t            \"inLanguage\": \"en-US\",\n\t            \"potentialAction\": [\n\t                {\n\t                    \"@type\": \"CommentAction\",\n\t                    \"name\": \"Comment\",\n\t                    \"target\": [\n\t                        \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/#respond\"\n\t                    ]\n\t                }\n\t            ]\n\t        },\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"WebPage\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/\",\n\t            \"url\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/2018\\\/11\\\/02\\\/heres-when-all-of-americas-new-nuclear-warhead-designs-will-be-active-and-how-much-theyll-cost\\\/\",\n\t            \"name\": \"Here\u2019s when all of America\u2019s new nuclear warhead designs will be active \u2014 and how much they\u2019ll cost - 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