{"id":58250,"date":"2018-02-17T21:27:32","date_gmt":"2018-02-17T21:27:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2018\/02\/17\/escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:16:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:16:08","slug":"escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/smr\/munich-security-forum\/2018\/02\/17\/escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use\/","title":{"rendered":"Escalate to de-escalate? US and Russia trade jabs on nuclear arms use"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MUNICH \u2014 If anyone had any doubt left, a panel discussion today at the Munich Security Conference showcased with brutal clarity that the United States and Russia have very little common ground for a rapprochement on nuclear weapons \u2014 or much else, for that matter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Seated on a podium here at the stately Bayerischer Hof hotel, John Sullivan, the U.S. deputy secretary of state, found himself treading familiar waters with Sergey Kislyak, the former Russian ambassador in Washington and now first deputy chairman of the committee on foreign affairs in the parliament\u2019s upper chamber.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At issue were the morbid intricacies of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fifthdomain.com\/pentagon\/2018\/02\/02\/yes-a-cyberattack-could-spur-the-president-to-launch-a-nuclear-attack\/\" title=\"\" class=\"\" target=\"_blank\">circumstances under which each country would unleash atomic arms<\/a> on the other. Specifically, exactly how close to the brink of destruction by way of a conventional attack must one country be before it would shoot back with nukes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sullivan and Kisliyak accused one another of following a doctrine of \u201cescalate to de-escalate,\u201d which means something like placing a nuclear punch just tiny enough to make a full-blown atomic war seem disproportionate in response, but powerful enough to end whatever skirmish is in progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So Strangelovian was the conversation at times that the speaker immediately following, 2017 Nobel Peace Prize laureate Beatrice Fihn, executive director of the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, joked that she needed a drink when entering the stage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Trump administration\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/space\/2018\/02\/02\/nuclear-posture-review-puts-russia-firmly-in-crosshairs\/\" title=\"\" class=\"\" target=\"_blank\">Nuclear Posture Review,<\/a> a new policy document on the nation\u2019s atomic-weapons strategy and nonproliferation plans, was the object Kislyak\u2019s ire and that of the representative from China, Fu Ying, chairwoman of the committee on foreign affairs of the National People\u2019s Congress, who joined at times in attacking Sullivan.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/smr\/nuclear-triad\/2018\/02\/05\/nuclear-posture-review-recognizing-the-return-to-great-power-competition\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/hasc.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">Nuclear Posture Review: Recognizing the return to great power competition<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">The recently-released Nuclear Posture Review reflects the central conclusion of the broader National Defense Strategy released in January: the U.S. must recognize the reality of a return to great power competition and posture itself accordingly.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The accusations and denials included: Violations of the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces Treaty by way of the Russian SSC-8 cruise missile or the American MK-41 shipborne vertical launch system and Aegis Ashore launcher; general petulance when it comes to re-engaging on disarmament; the development of tactical nuclear weapons that would lower the threshold for employing atomic arms; China\u2019s secrecy surrounding its substantial military build-up; Russia\u2019s meddling, now proven in the eyes of American law enforcement, in the 2016 presidential election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There were others, but none were new.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It was the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2018\/02\/11\/mattis-too-early-to-tell-if-olympics-will-lead-to-north-korea-breakthrough\/\" title=\"\" class=\"\" target=\"_blank\">Olympic spirit that brought a hair of hope<\/a> into the afternoon, as South Korea and North Korea had made efforts to appear in a show of unity at the ongoing winter games in Pyeongchang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Perhaps that bit of goodwill could pave the way for renewed talks between the United States and North Korea over the peninsula\u2019s denuclearization, Fu suggested. Because sanctions alone, she argued, cannot replace an actual conversation about making dictator Kim Jong Un change his ways.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That door opened ever so slightly earlier this week, as Vice President Mike Pence reportedly telegraphed some interest for a limited engagement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There might also be movement on another front: Sullivan, who repeated the Trump administration\u2019s assertion that an international deal to curb Iran\u2019s nuclear aspirations is \u201cflawed,\u201d said the United States and European negotiating partners had recently made some headway in crafting additional language aimed at stopping Tehran\u2019s ballistic missile program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Following the discussion, Sullivan and Kislyak were the last of the panelists to shake hands. They chatted for a few brief moments, then hurried out of the spotlight on different sides of the stage.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If anyone had any doubt left, a panel discussion today at the Munich Security Conference showcased with brutal clarity that the United States and Russia have very little common ground for a rapprochement on nuclear weapons \u2014 or much else, for that matter.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":35380,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":120,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[162,46,11,36,19,30,120],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3425],"class_list":["post-58250","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-digital-show-daily","category-europe","category-global","category-newsletters","category-pentagon","category-smr","category-munich-security-forum"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"G73XCKJWKZHXLDMKMQW57AT3VM","arc_canonical_url":"\/smr\/munich-security-forum\/2018\/02\/17\/escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Escalate to de-escalate? US and Russia trade jabs on nuclear arms use - Defense News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"If anyone had any doubt left, a panel discussion today at the Munich Security Conference showcased with brutal clarity that the United States and Russia have very little common ground for a rapprochement on nuclear weapons \u2014 or much else, for that matter.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Escalate to de-escalate? US and Russia trade jabs on nuclear arms use\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"If anyone had any doubt left, a panel discussion today at the Munich Security Conference showcased with brutal clarity that the United States and Russia have very little common ground for a rapprochement on nuclear weapons \u2014 or much else, for that matter.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/smr\/munich-security-forum\/2018\/02\/17\/escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Defense News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-02-17T21:27:32+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-08-08T00:16:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Sebastian Sprenger\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Sebastian Sprenger\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\n\t    \"@context\": \"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\n\t    \"@graph\": [\n\t        {\n\t            \"@type\": \"Article\",\n\t            \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/munich-security-forum\\\/2018\\\/02\\\/17\\\/escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use\\\/#article\",\n\t            \"isPartOf\": {\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/smr\\\/munich-security-forum\\\/2018\\\/02\\\/17\\\/escalate-to-de-escalate-us-and-russia-trade-jabs-on-nuclear-arms-use\\\/\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"author\": {\n\t                \"name\": \"migration\",\n\t                \"@id\": \"https:\\\/\\\/one.sightlinemg.com\\\/defensenews\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/cc76c831bb37a926738c8391fca7a3b1\"\n\t            },\n\t            \"headline\": \"Escalate to de-escalate? 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