{"id":62375,"date":"2022-10-27T20:52:44","date_gmt":"2022-10-27T20:52:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/uncategorized\/2022\/10\/27\/pentagons-missile-defense-review-lacks-execution-plan-analysts-say\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:45:07","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:45:07","slug":"pentagons-missile-defense-review-lacks-execution-plan-analysts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/defensenews\/pentagon\/2022\/10\/27\/pentagons-missile-defense-review-lacks-execution-plan-analysts-say\/","title":{"rendered":"Pentagon\u2019s missile defense review lacks execution plan, analysts say"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON \u2014 The unclassified version of the U.S. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2019\/01\/17\/the-missile-defense-review-is-out-will-congress-fund-it\/\" target=\"_blank\">Missile Defense Review,<\/a> released by the Pentagon on Oct. 27, contains no major surprises when it comes to strategy, but missile defense experts say it lacks a clear execution plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The new review takes up 17 pages in the 80-page unclassified version of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/10\/27\/biden-national-defense-strategy-tackles-china-russia-nuke-deterrence\/\" target=\"_blank\">U.S. National Defense Strategy, also released Oct. 27<\/a>. The classified version is lengthier and more comprehensive, defense officials said in a briefing at the Pentagon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The National Defense Strategy, for the first time ever, includes the Nuclear Posture Review and the Missile Defense Review. In years past, the major guidance documents were unveiled separately.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/breaking-news\/2019\/01\/17\/space-based-interceptors-and-drones-with-lasers-the-pentagons-missile-defense-review-wish-list-revealed\/\" target=\"_blank\">Trump administration released the last Missile Defense Review in 2019 <\/a>\u2014 a 108-page document that maintained a large amount of continuity with the MDR of 2010, but placed the missile defense enterprise in the context of great power competition against Russia and China for the first time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe Missile Defense Review largely represents a continuation of current policy on missile defense and does little to clarify the administration\u2019s strategy on how missile defense should be adjusted to meet growing threats,\u201d said Patty-Jane Geller, a senior policy analyst at the Heritage Foundation think tank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt is disappointing to see another missed opportunity to bring more coherence to our missile defense policy,\u201d the missile defense and nuclear deterrence expert told Defense News.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cFor example, the MDR commits to the priority of homeland missile defense and staying ahead of the North Korean threat. It also rightly stresses the importance of improving our ability to address advanced threats like hypersonic weapons,\u201d she said. \u201cYet, it gives little information about an actionable plan to meet these growing challenges.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The review reaffirms that homeland missile defense is America\u2019s top missile defense priority. The U.S. will continue to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/08\/01\/northrop-wins-3-billion-contract-to-manage-us-homeland-missile-defense-systems\/\" target=\"_blank\">modernize<\/a> and expand the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/08\/01\/northrop-wins-3-billion-contract-to-manage-us-homeland-missile-defense-systems\/\" target=\"_blank\">Ground-based Midcourse Defense, or GMD, system<\/a>, which was built to protect the U.S. homeland from intercontinental ballistic missiles from North Korea and Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The system consists of 44 interceptors buried in the ground, primarily at Fort Greely, Alaska, with a handful at Vandenberg Space Force Base, California, a network of space-based and terrestrial-based sensors, and an integrated command-and-control system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The review shows a commitment to continuing to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/06\/27\/industry-teams-move-to-accelerate-work-on-mdas-next-generation-missile-interceptor\/\" target=\"_blank\">develop the Next Generation Interceptor,<\/a> or NGI, expected to be fielded around 2028, to augment and potentially replace current interceptors. The current plan is to acquire 20 of those interceptors, according to a Pentagon official at the briefing. The timeline and fielding plan is not laid out in the MDR.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Geller noted that the MDR commits to improving homeland missile defense, but a recent Statement of Administration Policy on the Senate\u2019s version of the fiscal 2023 defense policy bill objects to a provision that would require a funding plan to buy additional NGIs that would help outpace the North Korean threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The brevity of the review \u201cleaves several issues unmentioned,\u201d Tom Karako, a missile defense analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, told Defense News. One of those issues is the absence of timelines and phases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt is one thing to say the United States must defend Guam, that we must have hypersonic defense and that space sensors are critical. But there are no express milestones or dates to assess whether they will be available within the decade, let alone at the speed of relevance,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Moreover, Geller noted while the MDR commits to hedging against advanced technologies under development by China and Russia, like hypersonic weapons, a Statement of Administration Policy also objects to additional funding for the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/06\/24\/raytheon-northrop-advance-in-competition-to-develop-hypersonic-weapons-interceptor\/\" target=\"_blank\">Glide Phase Interceptor<\/a> that the Missile Defense Agency is developing to destroy hypersonic missiles in flight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MDR also \u201cfails to clarify U.S. policy on defending against Russian and Chinese missiles,\u201d Geller said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt reiterates the current position to rely solely on nuclear deterrence \u2014 rather than missile defense \u2014 to defend the homeland from Russian and Chinese ballistic missiles, but then commits to defending Guam as part of the homeland against China, and defending the homeland from Russian and Chinese cruise missiles,\u201d she added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The review stresses the need to prioritize the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/congress\/budget\/2022\/03\/30\/mdas-plan-to-protect-guam-relies-on-field-proven-systems\/\" target=\"_blank\">missile defense architecture on Guam<\/a>, which is already underway. \u201cGuam\u2019s defense, which will include various active and passive missile defense capabilities, will contribute to the overall integrity of integrated deterrence and bolster the U.S. operational strategy in the Indo-Pacific region,\u201d the review stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other missing pieces, according to Karako, include the \u201cusual\u201d assurance against arms control limitations, the need for increasing production quantities, and the need for maintaining flexible acquisition authorities or who exactly will manage the new \u201cmissile defeat\u201d enterprise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/08\/09\/pentagon-eyes-broader-missile-defense-amid-calls-for-more-advanced-countermeasures\/\" target=\"_blank\">Missile defeat<\/a> \u201cencompasses the range of activities to counter the development, acquisition, proliferation, potential and actual use of adversary offensive missiles of all types, and to limit damage from such use,\u201d according to the review.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Using the term \u201cmissile defeat\u201d is one area where the MDR branches out from past iterations, Karako noted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe use of \u2018missile defeat\u2019 represents a subtle but important shift, which applies broadly to the missile defense enterprise,\u201d he said. \u201cA broad defense and defeat-dominant posture towards North Korea remains intact, but attack operations and other novel measures left of launch will help size the requirements for active missile defense interceptors within the comprehensive missile defeat enterprise.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2022 MDR also \u201cnotably recognizes how various air and missile threats would be used in conjunction for complex and integrated attacks,\u201d he added. \u201cIt is critical and long overdue to acknowledge that adversaries will attempt to suppress U.S. and allied air and missile defense capabilities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2018 National Defense Strategy, released during the Trump administration, endorsed dispersed basing and operations, but the 2019 MDR \u201cdid not apply that logic to [air and missile defense],\u201d Karako said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2022 review \u201cdoes so explicitly,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cFuture air and missile defense capabilities must also be more mobile, flexible, survivable, and affordable, and emphasize disaggregation, dispersal, and maneuver to mitigate the threat from adversary missiles,\u201d the review stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The review also heavily emphasizes the need to bolster regional defense and deterrence through \u201cclose cooperation\u201d with allies and partners on Integrated Air and Missile Defense, or IAMD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIAMD represents an effort to move beyond platform-specific missile defense toward a broader approach melding all missile defeat capabilities \u2014 defensive, passive, offensive, kinetic, non-kinetic \u2014 into a comprehensive joint and combined construct,\u201d the document stated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cAs such, the United States will continue to pursue joint, allied and partner IAMD capabilities needed to maintain a credible level of regional defensive capability for joint maneuver forces and critical infrastructure against all missile threats from any adversary in order to protect U.S. forces abroad, maintain freedom of maneuver and strengthen security commitments to our allies and partners,\u201d the review read.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The MDR is out, but the short document lacks clarity on how the U.S. will achieve a more capable missile defense architecture, according to issue experts.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":105533,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":19,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[160,14,36,19],"tags":[],"coauthors":[3330],"class_list":["post-62375","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-land","category-newsletters","category-pentagon"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"A62XPG27YJB4ZOT7UXC3HAGEZ4","arc_canonical_url":"\/pentagon\/2022\/10\/27\/pentagons-missile-defense-review-lacks-execution-plan-analysts-say\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented 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