{"id":37948,"date":"2021-10-14T10:41:37","date_gmt":"2021-10-14T10:41:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/marinecorpstimes\/uncategorized\/2021\/10\/14\/taiwan-tensions-raise-fears-of-us-china-conflict-in-asia\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T07:32:00","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T07:32:00","slug":"taiwan-tensions-raise-fears-of-us-china-conflict-in-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/marinecorpstimes\/flashpoints\/2021\/10\/14\/taiwan-tensions-raise-fears-of-us-china-conflict-in-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"Taiwan tensions raise fears of US-China conflict in Asia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">BANGKOK (AP) \u2014 After <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/flashpoints\/2021\/10\/13\/china-amid-tensions-with-us-military-drills-flights-were-needed-to-defend-taiwan\/\" target=\"_blank\">sending a record number of military aircraft to harass Taiwan <\/a>over China\u2019s National Day holiday, Beijing has toned down the saber rattling but tensions remain high, with the rhetoric and reasoning behind the exercises unchanged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Experts agree a direct conflict is unlikely at the moment, but as the future of self-ruled Taiwan increasingly becomes a powder keg, a mishap or miscalculation <a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/flashpoints\/2021\/09\/28\/threats-from-russia-more-immediate-but-threats-from-china-greater-report\/\" target=\"_blank\">could lead to confrontation<\/a> while Chinese and American ambitions are at odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">China seeks to bring the strategically and symbolically important island back under its control, and the U.S. sees Taiwan in the context of broader challenges from China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cFrom the U.S. perspective, the concept of a great power rivalry with China has driven this back up the agenda,\u201d said Henry Boyd, a Britain-based defense analyst with the International Institute for Strategic Studies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe need to stand up to China is a strong enough motivating factor that not taking this fight would also be seen as a betrayal of American national interests.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">China claims Taiwan as its own, and controlling the island is a key component of Beijing\u2019s political and military thinking. Leader Xi Jinping on the weekend again emphasized \u201creunification of the nation must be realized, and will definitely be realized\u201d \u2014 a goal made more realistic with massive improvements to China\u2019s armed forces over the last two decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In response, the U.S. has been increasing support for Taiwan and more broadly turning its focus to the Indo-Pacific region. U.S. State Department spokesman Ned Price on Tuesday emphasized that American support for Taiwan is \u201crock solid,\u201d saying \u201cwe have also been very clear that we are committed to deepening our ties with Taiwan.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"5000\" height=\"3411\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-40691\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg 5000w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg?resize=300,205 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg?resize=768,524 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,699 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1048 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions3.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1397 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 5000px) 100vw, 5000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">FILE &#8211; In this Oct. 10, 2021, file photo, Taiwanese soldiers salute during National Day celebrations in front of the Presidential Building in Taipei, Taiwan. After sending a record number of military aircraft to harass Taiwan over China\u2019s National Day holiday weekend, Beijing has toned down the sabre rattling but tensions remain high, with the rhetoric and reasoning behind the exercises unchanged. (AP Photo\/Chiang Ying-ying, File)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Washington\u2019s longstanding policy has been to provide political and military support for Taiwan, while not explicitly promising to defend it from a Chinese attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two sides came perhaps the closest to blows in 1996, when China, irked by what it saw as increasing American support for Taiwan, decided to flex its muscle with exercises that included firing missiles into the waters some 30 kilometers (20 miles) from Taiwan\u2019s coast ahead of Taiwan\u2019s first popular presidential election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. responded with its own show of force, sending two aircraft carrier groups to the region. At the time, China had no aircraft carriers and little means to threaten the American ships, and it backed down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stung by the episode, China embarked upon a massive overhaul of its military, and 25 years later, it has significantly improved missile defenses that could easily strike back, and equipped or built its own aircraft carriers.<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/news\/your-military\/2020\/09\/02\/what-war-with-china-could-look-like\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/635774999538290744-mar-2015-dawn-blitz-5jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">What war with China could look like<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">A host of scenarios could push China and the United States into some kind of conflict.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. Defense Department\u2019s recent report to Congress noted that in 2000, it assessed China\u2019s armed forces to be \u201ca sizable but mostly archaic military\u201d but that today it is a rival, having already surpassed the American military in some areas including shipbuilding to the point where it now has the world\u2019s largest navy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Counting ships isn\u2019t the best way to compare capabilities \u2014 the U.S. Navy has 11 aircraft carriers to China\u2019s two, for example \u2014 but in the event of a conflict over Taiwan, China would be able to deploy almost the entirety of its naval forces, and also has land-based anti-ship missiles to add to the fight, said Boyd, a co-author of IISS\u2019s annual Military Balance assessment of global armed forces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cChina\u2019s concept of operations regarding Taiwan is that if they can delay the U.S. presence in the fight, or restrict the numbers that they\u2019re able to put into the fight because we\u2019re able to hold their forward assets at some level of risk, they can beat the Taiwanese before the Americans show up in enough force to do something about it,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taiwan\u2019s own strategy is the mirror image \u2014 delaying China long enough for the U.S. and its allies to show up in force. It has significant military forces itself, and the advantage of fighting on its home turf. A recent policy paper also notes the need for asymmetric measures, which could include things like missile attacks on mainland China ammunition or fuel dumps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taiwan\u2019s defense department\u2019s assessment of China\u2019s capabilities, presented to parliament in August and obtained by The Associated Press, says China already has the ability to seal Taiwan\u2019s ports and airports, but currently lacks the transport and logistical support for large-scale joint landing operations \u2014 though is improving by the day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2778\" height=\"1983\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-75326\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg 2778w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg?resize=300,214 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg?resize=768,548 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,731 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1096 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/TaiwanTensions5.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1462 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2778px) 100vw, 2778px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">In this photo released by Defense Visual Information Distribution Service, ships from Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force and Indian Navy sail in formation with Royal Australian Navy HMAS Warramunga and Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Barry (DDG 52) during MALABAR 2021 on Aug. 27, 2021. China seeks to bring the strategically and symbolically important island back under its control, and the U.S. sees Taiwan in the context of broader challenges from China. (Justin Stack\/DVIDS U.S. Navy via AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In a new strategic guidance policy last week, U.S. Navy Secretary Carlos Del Toro, identified China as the \u201cmost significant\u201d long-term challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cFor the first time in at least a generation, we have a strategic competitor who possesses naval capabilities that rival our own, and who seeks to aggressively employ its forces to challenge U.S. principles, partnerships and prosperity,\u201d the paper said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">China, over its National Day weekend at the beginning of the month, sent a record 149 military aircraft southwest of Taiwan in strike group formations \u2014 in international airspace but into the island\u2019s buffer zone, prompting Taiwan to scramble its defenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On Monday, China announced it had carried out beach landing and assault drills in the mainland province directly opposite Taiwan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ma Xiaoguang, spokesperson of the mainland government\u2019s Taiwan Affairs Office, justified the actions as necessary, saying Wednesday they were provoked by \u201cTaiwan independence forces\u201d colluding with \u201cexternal forces.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWith every step the Chinese are trying to change the status quo and normalize the situation through this salami slicing,\u201d said Hoo Tiang Boon, coordinator of the China program at the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies in Singapore. \u201cThey know Taiwan cannot do anything about it, and the danger is that possibility of miscalculations or mishaps do exist.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taiwan and China split in 1949 amid a civil war, with Chiang Kai-shek\u2019s Nationalists fleeing to the island as Mao Zedong\u2019s Communists swept to power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In a 2019 defense white paper, Beijing said it advocates \u201cpeaceful reunification of the country\u201d \u2014 a phrase repeated by Xi over the weekend \u2014 but is also unequivocal in its goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cChina must and will be reunited,\u201d the paper reads. \u201cWe make no promise to renounce the use of force, and reserve the option of taking all necessary measures.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, meantime, has been making the case for more global support, writing in the most recent edition of Foreign Affairs magazine that \u201cif Taiwan were to fall, the consequences would be catastrophic for regional peace and the democratic alliance system.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cA failure to defend Taiwan would not only be catastrophic for the Taiwanese,\u201d she wrote. \u201cIt would overturn a security architecture that has allowed for peace and extraordinary economic development in the region for seven decades.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U.S. law requires it to assist Taiwan in maintaining a defensive capability and to treat threats to the island as a matter of \u201cgrave concern.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Washington has recently acknowledged that U.S. special forces are on the island in a training capacity, and it has been stepping up multinational maneuvers in the region as part of a stated commitment to a \u201cfree and open Indo-Pacific.\u201d They included an exercise involving 17 ships from six navies \u2014 the U.S., Britain, Japan, Netherlands, Canada and New Zealand off the Japanese island of Okinawa earlier this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The so-called Quad group of nations \u2014 the U.S., Australia, India and Japan \u2014 on Thursday were concluding joint exercises in the Bay of Bengal, which Japan\u2019s Defense Ministry said showed their resolve to uphold \u201cfundamental values such as democracy and the rule of law.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Washington also signed a deal last month in concert with Britain to provide Australia with nuclear-powered submarines, which China said would \u201cseriously damage regional peace and stability.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe Americans are trying to bring in the allies on a united front,\u201d said Hoo. \u201cThere\u2019s a growing internationalization of the Taiwan issue.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Right now, neither side\u2019s armed forces feels fully prepared for a conflict over Taiwan, but in the end it may not be their decision, Boyd said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s not going to be up to the military,\u201d he said. \u201cIt\u2019s going to be up to the politicians.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i>Associated Press writers Matthew Lee in Washington and Huizhong Wu in Taipei, Taiwan, contributed to this report.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>China seeks to bring the strategically and symbolically important island back under its control, and the U.S. sees Taiwan in the context of broader challenges from China.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":75324,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":8,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[101,8,23,93,12,25],"tags":[],"coauthors":[2982],"class_list":["post-37948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-flashpoints","category-home","category-middle-column","category-news","category-newsletters"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"DHDQT23QEBCPPNQOXZTGCKPXHQ","arc_canonical_url":"\/flashpoints\/2021\/10\/14\/taiwan-tensions-raise-fears-of-us-china-conflict-in-asia\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - 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