{"id":78419,"date":"2023-09-18T18:14:01","date_gmt":"2023-09-18T18:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/marinecorpstimes\/uncategorized\/2023\/09\/18\/why-improve-ukraines-deep-strike-capability\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T00:56:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T00:56:21","slug":"why-improve-ukraines-deep-strike-capability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/marinecorpstimes\/opinion\/2023\/09\/18\/why-improve-ukraines-deep-strike-capability\/","title":{"rendered":"Why improve Ukraine\u2019s deep-strike capability?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the counteroffensive progresses, Ukraine\u2019s leaders are giving higher priority to striking Russian targets beyond the immediate battlefield. They urge the West to provide modern fighter jets, like the F-16, and longer-range rocket artillery, like the ground-launched Army Tactical Missile System. Both weapons <a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/Politics\/us-send-long-range-atacms-missiles-ukraine-time\/story?id=103031722\" target=\"_blank\">now seem likely<\/a> to enter the fight this year or next. How will they help Ukraine?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/flashpoints\/ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\">Throughout the war<\/a>, Russian forces have relied heavily on artillery, consistent with their <a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2022\/06\/19\/why-russia-keeps-turning-to-mass-firepower\/\" target=\"_blank\">doctrine<\/a> of emphasizing cannon and rocket artillery to wear down an enemy. NATO, in contrast, leverages its air forces, which are usually <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsweek.com\/russia-su35-comparison-f16-jets-ukraine-1788873\" target=\"_blank\">technically superior<\/a> to Russia\u2019s. Aircraft offer more flexibility and can attack multiple targets in a single sortie. Survivable air power can strike strategic and mobile targets deep behind enemy lines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.militarytimes.com\/congress\/2023\/09\/06\/us-considering-long-range-fires-for-ukraine-state-dept-official-says\/\" target=\"_blank\">Until recently<\/a>, the U.S. appeared hesitant to provide deep-strike arms. Allied initiative may have helped overcome this reticence. After Denmark and the Netherlands <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/news\/your-military\/2023\/08\/18\/ukraine-will-get-f-16-fighter-jets-from-dutch-danes-after-us-agrees\/\" target=\"_blank\">offered<\/a> older F-16s, the Biden administration agreed to the transfer and offered help with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/air\/2023\/08\/24\/ukrainian-pilots-will-learn-to-fly-f-16s-at-us-air-forces-162nd-wing\/\" target=\"_blank\">pilot training<\/a>. Allied provision of F-16s can be attractive to the U.S. because costs are shared.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Earlier, the White House seemed to fear that dispatching combat aircraft to Ukraine might cross a Russian red line, perhaps even prompting threats of a nuclear response. The United States <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/flashpoints\/ukraine\/2022\/03\/09\/pentagon-rejects-polands-offer-to-transfer-fighter-fleet-for-ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\">rebuffed<\/a> a Polish bid to send used <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/global\/europe\/2023\/04\/13\/poland-bid-to-re-export-mig-29s-to-ukraine-wins-quick-german-approval\/\" target=\"_blank\">MiG-29 aircraft<\/a> to Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Other NATO allies also have decided that providing deep-strike weaponry is important for Ukraine\u2019s defense and worth any risk of escalation. Recently, the British and French sent air-launched <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/global\/europe\/2023\/05\/11\/ukraine-gets-british-long-range-missiles-ahead-of-counteroffensive\/\" target=\"_blank\">Storm Shadow<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pravda.com.ua\/eng\/news\/2023\/08\/22\/7416650\/\" target=\"_blank\">Scalp<\/a> cruise missiles, respectively. Some of Ukraine\u2019s fleet of aging Soviet-era fighters have been modified to carry them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ukrainian attacks on logistics depots behind the front lines have resulted in Russia losing thousands of artillery shells along with fuel and other equipment. In <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-europe-66793900\" target=\"_blank\">devastating strikes<\/a> on Crimea\u2019s Sevastopol port, Storm Shadows, Scalps and seaborne drones may have seriously damaged a large Russian landing ship, diesel submarine and shore infrastructure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As Ukraine transitions to European-provided F-16s, it will gain access to more advanced cruise missiles, such as the low-observable Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile. Additional types of missiles might also help Ukraine hold at risk strategic Russian staging areas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/will-russia-control-skies-over-ukraine\" target=\"_blank\">Russia\u2019s air defense environment<\/a> is one of the world\u2019s most challenging. It could be risky for Ukrainian F-16s to fly deep into the battlefield and\/or operate for long periods over Russian forces. Partly for this reason, ground-launched missiles are an essential complement to air power; they can be launched at any time and generally have increased survivability relative to manned combat aircraft.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fast-flying ballistic missiles are especially survivable due to their speed and maneuverability, though they have less range compared to cruise missiles. A longer-range ballistic missile capable of precision attack, the Army Tactical Missile System, or ATACMS, can be fired from multiple launchers. Ukraine possesses several kinds, such as the U.S.-made M270 Multiple Launch Rocket System and the M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. has been reluctant to provide ATACMS in part because <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/national-security\/2023\/07\/22\/ukraine-us-long-range-missiles\/\" target=\"_blank\">stockpiles<\/a> are limited while the Army awaits its replacement, the Precision Strike Missile. The Biden administration now hints that it may <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2023\/09\/11\/biden-decision-long-range-missiles-ukraine-00115068\" target=\"_blank\">provide ATACMS<\/a>. If it takes this step, however, Ukraine might receive only a few dozen missiles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The U.S. could facilitate delivery of more ATACMS by allowing the re-export of European-owned systems. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalregister.gov\/documents\/2019\/02\/06\/2019-01231\/arms-sales-notification\" target=\"_blank\">Poland<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.federalregister.gov\/documents\/2017\/10\/24\/2017-22984\/arms-sales-notification\" target=\"_blank\">Romania<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20180310143222\/https:\/www.armscontrol.org\/factsheets\/missiles\" target=\"_blank\">Greece and Turkey<\/a> have ATACMS. Last year, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.defensenews.com\/pentagon\/2022\/12\/16\/lithuania-signs-495-million-deal-to-buy-himars-atacms\/\" target=\"_blank\">Lithuania<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/mil.in.ua\/en\/news\/estonia-buys-himars-ammunition-will-include-atacms-missiles\/\" target=\"_blank\">Estonia<\/a> signed purchase agreements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Coordinated deep-strike capabilities \u2014 air-launched and ground-launched \u2014 will be most effective in degrading Russian forces and operations. Using air and ground launchers would force Russian commanders to devote substantial intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities to attempt to find these systems. The commanders would have to divert these capabilities from other efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In some cases, Ukraine might need to make hard choices. Since the U.S. may have a limited stockpile of deep-strike missiles like the ATACMS and the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile, Ukraine might not receive as many deep-strike arms as it wants.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i>John Hoehn is an associate policy researcher at the think tank Rand and a former military analyst with the Congressional Research Service. Hunter Stoll is a policy analyst at Rand and an Army Reserve intelligence officer. William Courtney is an adjunct senior fellow at Rand and was the U.S. ambassador to Kazakhstan, Georgia, and the U.S.-USSR commission to implement the Threshold Test Ban Treaty.<\/i><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some NATO members have decided that providing deep-strike weaponry is important for Ukraine\u2019s defense and worth any risk of escalation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":117747,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":14,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[77,101,25,14],"tags":[],"coauthors":[4770],"class_list":["post-78419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-daily-news-roundup","category-newsletters","category-opinion"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"75UVJC2LWNFE3ORW3ZMCQRCB2U","arc_canonical_url":"\/opinion\/2023\/09\/18\/why-improve-ukraines-deep-strike-capability\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - 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