{"id":115867,"date":"2016-02-28T16:54:17","date_gmt":"2016-02-28T16:54:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/uncategorized\/2016\/02\/28\/super-tuesday-presents-super-test-for-bernie-sanders\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T13:17:11","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T13:17:11","slug":"super-tuesday-presents-super-test-for-bernie-sanders","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/news\/2016\/02\/28\/super-tuesday-presents-super-test-for-bernie-sanders\/","title":{"rendered":"Super Tuesday presents super test for Bernie Sanders"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

WASHINGTON \u2014\u00a0Sen. Bernie Sanders\u00a0has said he’ll battle\u00a0Hillary Clinton\u00a0for the Democratic presidential nomination through the last contest in June.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the Vermont independent’s ability to stay competitive faces a major test \u2014 both mathematically and demographically\u00a0\u2014 on Tuesday, when 11 states and\u00a0American Samoa\u00a0hold primaries and caucuses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At stake are 865 pledged delegates to the\u00a0Democratic National Convention. That’s 36.3% of the 2,382 delegates needed to clinch the nomination.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of those 11 Super Tuesday\u00a0states, Sanders sees a path to victory in Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma and his home state of Vermont, where he’s polling an average 75 points ahead of Clinton. He\u00a0also expects to win significant numbers of delegates in the other six states, because Democrats award delegates proportional\u00a0to a candidate’s share of the\u00a0vote in each state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One problem for Sanders<\/a>: The\u00a0Super Tuesday states where he sees possible victories\u00a0offer only one-third\u00a0of pledged delegates at stake that day.\u00a0Clinton also is way ahead in\u00a0support from superdelegates,\u00a0the 712 unpledged\u00a0elected officials and party leaders who decide on their own which\u00a0candidate to back.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following his 47.5-point loss in\u00a0Saturday’s\u00a0South Carolina primary, Sanders has 65 pledged delegates and Clinton has 91.\u00a0Counting superdelegates, Clinton now has 544 total delegates,\u00a0compared to 85 for Sanders.\u200b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Even after his crushing defeat in the South Carolina primary Saturday night, Sanders said his campaign is “just beginning.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Now it’s on to Super Tuesday,” he said in a statement Saturday. “In just three days, Democrats in 11 states will pick 10 times more pledged delegates on one day than were selected in the four early states so far in this campaign. Our grassroots political revolution is growing state by state, and we won’t stop now.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Super Tuesday is “critical” for Sanders, said David Wasserman, who analyzes delegate counts for The\u00a0Cook Political Report.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“He’s got to stay within striking distance of Hillary Clinton or else she’ll put the race away,” Wasserman said Thursday. “By our estimates, if Clinton were to match patterns of support she’s received in primaries to date, she would win between 75 and 100 more delegates than Sanders on March 1. That would mean that Sanders would need to win approximately 58% of the remaining pledged and undeclared superdelegates to tie Hillary Clinton by the end of the primaries. That’s virtually impossible to do.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Sanders campaign believes superdelegates will switch their allegiance as he amasses pledged delegates, and his supporters have\u00a0launched independent campaigns\u00a0designed to ensure that happens at the convention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

If Sanders leads in pledged delegates by the end of the process, “the pressure on the superdelegates not to go against the will of the voters is going to be enormous,” said\u00a0Tad Devine, Sanders’ senior media adviser.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the 2008 Democratic presidential race, about\u00a0two-dozen superdelegates\u00a0switched their support from Clinton to Barack Obama. But Clinton started that race with a much smaller lead in superdelegates than she has now, said Anthony Corrado, a government professor at\u00a0Colby College\u00a0in Maine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“I think we’re not going to see major movement from the superdelegates who are already committed to Hillary, barring some extraordinary event,” he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Super Tuesday also will test\u00a0Sanders’ ability to win support from large numbers of minority voters in southern states such as Texas, Georgia and Alabama. Minority voters have favored Clinton in national polls,\u00a0and African Americans were key to her victory in South Carolina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sanders says his support among Latinos is growing. His campaign officials cite entrance polls showing he won the Latino vote at the\u00a0Nevada caucus, which Clinton won overall. But Clinton campaign officials and others say those results weren’t reliable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“If you can’t win non-whites in this party, you cannot win the nomination,” said Democratic strategist\u00a0Joe Trippi, who ran former Vermont governor\u00a0Howard Dean’s presidential campaign in 2004. “There’s just no way he keeps it close if he’s running this poorly among nonwhites. The issue isn’t which states can he win, it’s can he change that. They’re running out of time to do it.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
US Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton addresses a primary night rally in Columbia, South Carolina, on February 27, 2016, following her sweeping victory in the state’s Democratic primary. \rHillary Clinton defeated Bernie Sanders by an overwhelming margin in Saturday’s Democratic primary in South Carolina, projections showed, seizing momentum ahead of the most important day of the nomination race: next week’s “Super Tuesday” contests. \/ AFP \/ Nicholas Kamm (Photo credit should read NICHOLAS KAMM\/AFP\/Getty Images)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton addresses a primary night rally on Feb. 27, 2016, in Columbia, S.C.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Photo Credit: Nicholas Kamm\/AFP via Getty Images<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Clinton has received hundreds of endorsements from African-American and Hispanic elected officials and is counting on strong minority support as a firewall against Sanders. She’s pitching herself as the candidate most closely aligned with President Obama, who is popular among Democrats in states that will vote in March.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“As the campaign moves towards states with more diverse electorates in March, we expect Hillary’s strength among these groups will quickly translate into a major electoral advantage,” her campaign manager,\u00a0Robby Mook, wrote in a Feb. 9 open memo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At a recent Sanders rally in\u00a0Norfolk, Va., Dominique Conway, 20, an African-American student at\u00a0Hampton University\u00a0who will vote in Virginia on Tuesday, said Sanders is more vocal than Clinton about issues affecting black voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He hasn’t been afraid to call for criminal justice reform or “say the word black,” she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But she also said many African Americans don’t know Sanders well. Conway’s age group \u2014 where Sanders has strong\u00a0support \u2014 learned about him through social media, a major focus of his campaign’s outreach efforts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“But my parents? They’re not on Twitter,” she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sanders delivers paid messages through\u00a0online ads, text messaging and email, and he’s advertising statewide in Colorado, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, and Oklahoma.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He aims to connect with minority voters through his personal biography as the son of a Polish\u00a0immigrant\u00a0and through support from unelected leaders, including former NAACP president\u00a0Ben Jealous\u00a0and movie director\u00a0Spike Lee, Devine said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuesday likely will be Clinton’s “best day on the calendar,” but Sanders aims to win over the long haul, Devine said. He predicted\u00a0“decisive showdowns” in Michigan on March 8, Wisconsin on April\u00a05, Pennsylvania on April 26, and in other states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The campaign will make a big effort in Kansas and Nebraska before their\u00a0March 5 caucuses, and California could decide the election when it votes in June, he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“We’ve got a lot of time,” Devine\u00a0said. “By the time we get to California, I think we’ll be winning Latino voters by a significant margin and I think we will not have these kinds of deficits with African-American voters.”<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

WASHINGTON \u2014\u00a0Sen. 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