{"id":26626,"date":"2017-04-28T12:44:50","date_gmt":"2017-04-28T12:44:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/uncategorized\/2017\/04\/28\/us-anti-missile-system-in-south-korea-has-limits\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T21:27:47","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T21:27:47","slug":"us-anti-missile-system-in-south-korea-has-limits","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/news\/2017\/04\/28\/us-anti-missile-system-in-south-korea-has-limits\/","title":{"rendered":"US anti-missile system in South Korea has limits"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SEOUL, South Korea \u2014 Neat certainties are rare in the North Korean nuclear crisis, which for decades has simmered and occasionally boiled over, without resolution.<br\/><br\/>So it was jarring to see the absolute confidence with which America&#8217;s top Pacific commander described the ability of a contentious U.S. missile defense system, scheduled to be up and running in days in South Korea, to shoot down North Korean missiles.<br\/><br\/>&#8220;If it flies, it will die,&#8221; Adm. Harry Harris told U.S. lawmakers at a hearing Wednesday.<br\/><br\/>Like nearly everything associated with the world&#8217;s last Cold War standoff, the truth is muddier. The\u00a0Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system, or THAAD, has its limits and unknowns.<br\/><br\/><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, Harris does have some data to back up his bold statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After an early redesign, THAAD was reportedly successfully tested 12 times, according to Jonathan McDowell, an astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A controlled test, however, is a much different matter than an actual war, where large numbers of missiles will be fired with little or no warning.<\/p>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-smg-jwplayer-video\"><atype-video-jwplayer nostick=\"true\" playlisturl=\"https:\/\/cdn.jwplayer.com\/v2\/playlists\/fCzRqMW8?tags=50a470f6-d262-4fe5-ade6-b71103471109\" aspectratio=\"16 \/ 9\" mute autostart=\"false\"><\/atype-video-jwplayer><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">In the latest sign of worsening tensions on the peninsula, South Korea announced Wednesday that it had installed key parts of a contentious U.S. missile defense system. The South unveiled the Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense system, or THAAD. The action comes as U.S. warships have converged on the Korean Peninsula. A combative North Korea has signaled further nuclear and missile tests and just days ago showed off its military power with live-fire drills. As some worried that the deployment would make the region more unstable not less, the South&#8217;s announcement sparked protests in South Korea. To further complicate matters, China expressed its serious concern to Washington and Seoul over the THAAD deployment.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Things that work well at home on the test range don&#8217;t always go as smoothly when deployed,&#8221; McDowell said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A salvo of multiple North Korean short-range missiles, for instance, could overwhelm THAAD, said David Wright, co-director of the Union of Concerned Scientists&#8217; Global Security Program.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">THAAD will also be deployed about 125 miles south of Seoul, whose greater metropolitan area, about an hour from the heavily armed border, is home to 25 million people. &#8220;It cannot engage missiles fired at Seoul, so it offers no additional protection of the city,&#8221; Wright said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some scientists are even blunter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Harris&#8217; comments about THAAD&#8217;s capabilities &#8220;are technically incorrect,&#8221; said Theodore Postol, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. &#8220;The THAAD interceptor is very easily defeated by either causing a missile to tumble end over end or by intentionally fragmenting a rocket into pieces.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">THAAD&#8217;s capabilities as a defense system &#8220;can be expected to be very low, probably zero or close to that,&#8221; Postol said.<\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>After an early redesign, THAAD was reportedly successfully tested 12 times, but a controlled test is a much different matter than an actual 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