{"id":94401,"date":"2022-01-27T23:13:56","date_gmt":"2022-01-27T23:13:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/uncategorized\/2022\/01\/27\/why-russia-needs-the-peace-agreements-to-invade-ukraine\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T09:49:38","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T09:49:38","slug":"why-russia-needs-the-peace-agreements-to-invade-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/opinion\/2022\/01\/27\/why-russia-needs-the-peace-agreements-to-invade-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Russia needs the peace agreements to invade Ukraine"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

For almost a year now, Russia has been carrying out provocations on Ukraine\u2019s borders<\/a>, periodically accumulating significant military forces on them. Of course, similar behavior of the Russian Federation has taken place before<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The main difference from previous cases of Russia\u2019s aggressive actions is the high level of confidence of the U.S. leadership<\/a> that this time Moscow is ready to use its troops for a new full-scale invasion of Ukraine. The opinion of the Ukrainian leadership differs, and they believe that the Kremlin is bluffing in order to obtain concessions, intimidate Ukrainians and undermine the Ukrainian economy<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Britain, in turn, reports the threat of coup and the establishment of a pro-Russian regime<\/a>, even naming the names of the regime\u2019s likely leaders \u2014 mostly representatives of the Yanukovych regime who have lived in Russia since 2014.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Such differences in assessments of Russia\u2019s intentions and actions disorient not only observers but also government officials. This leads not only to difficulties in developing a joint strategy, but also to misunderstandings<\/a> and even public disputes<\/a> between members of the international pro-Ukrainian coalition. The reason for such a different assessment of what Russia is trying to achieve with its actions and what it is actually ready to do against Ukraine is very simple. Each of the evaluators looks at the situation from their own angle, ignoring the fact that to understand the big picture it is necessary to make a joint assessment. After all, after analyzing all the forecasts and presenting them in the correct chronological order, we are convinced that all anticipations are to some extent correct and only complementary, not mutually exclusive.<\/p>\n\n\n\t