{"id":26551,"date":"2016-09-13T17:23:48","date_gmt":"2016-09-13T17:23:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/uncategorized\/2016\/09\/13\/inside-the-anti-islamic-state-air-campaign-command-center\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T06:34:32","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T06:34:32","slug":"inside-the-anti-islamic-state-air-campaign-command-center","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/flashpoints\/2016\/09\/13\/inside-the-anti-islamic-state-air-campaign-command-center\/","title":{"rendered":"Inside the anti-Islamic State air campaign command center"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>AL UDEID AIR BASE, Qatar \u2014 Air Force Maj. Gen. Jay Silveria examined the photos arrayed on a table in a conference room. The grainy pictures showed\u00a0a small oil well and collection pool operated by\u00a0the Islamic State in the Syrian desert.<br\/><br\/>The targeting officer gave Silveria\u00a0a brief pitch: This was an opportunity to hit a key source of Islamic State revenue. No civilians were around, and a pair of U.S. A-10 attack planes could get there quickly. The general\u00a0turned to a military lawyer to see if he had any legal concerns. He didn\u2019t.<br\/><br\/>Silveria gave his OK,\u00a0and the planes destroyed the oil well.<br\/><br\/>The strike\u00a0is one example\u00a0of how the U.S. operation against the Islamic State militants in Iraq and Syria has\u00a0become the most tightly managed air campaign\u00a0in the history of warfare. USA Today was granted rare access to the command center here to witness how the team carries out that\u00a0campaign.<br\/><br\/>Every strike has to be approved by an officer with the rank of a one-star general or\u00a0higher. The targets are scrutinized not only for their potential for collateral damage, but also &#8220;proportionality&#8221; \u00a0\u2014\u00a0whether the military value of the target is worth the time and cost of a\u00a0strike and furthers the aim of the overall campaign.<br\/><br\/>Staff officers have developed complex formulas for estimating the potential for civilian casualties on any given target and what type of bomb to use to achieve a specific goal.\u00a0Planned, or &#8220;deliberate&#8221; targets,\u00a0which can include a cash warehouse, car bomb factories or militant communications facilities, take\u00a0an average of four to six weeks for approval. However, &#8220;dynamic&#8221; targets of opportunity, like the\u00a0oil well, account for 85 percent of the strikes and can be approved in\u00a0minutes if\u00a0a high-level officer signs off.<br\/><br\/><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"air operations center \" data-alignment=\"center\" data-object-id=\"00000157-2483-d9a9-afdf-b7bf597e0000\" data-type=\"image\" src=\"http:\/\/snagfilms-a.akamaihd.net\/36\/e9\/35fdd5e64d2280ec071125fa5339\/air-operations-center.jpg\"\/><figcaption> <span>Photo Credit: Staff Sgt. Douglas Ellis\/Air Force<\/span><\/figcaption>The highly controlled air campaign reflects a heightened sensitivity to civilian casualties in an era where social media draw the world&#8217;s attention to even a single errant bomb.<br\/><br\/><br\/><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The number of confirmed civilian deaths in nearly 15,000 coalition strikes since the air war began in 2014 is 55, according to<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/United States Central Command\" title=\"\"> U.S. Central Command<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">. An additional seven allegations are under investigation, and actual\u00a0casualties are likely higher, since the military&#8217;s estimates includes\u00a0only\u00a0those it has confirmed through a rigorous process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;Most times we\u2019re trying to drive it to zero civilian casualties,&#8221; said\u00a0Lt. Gen. Jeffrey\u00a0Harrigian, commander of the air campaign in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Critics say the regulations to avoid\u00a0non-combatant deaths\u00a0are excessive and have undermined the effectiveness of the air campaign.\u00a0Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/John McCain\" title=\"\"> John McCain<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">, R-Ariz.,\u00a0complained last year\u00a0that three-quarters of the coalition\u2019s aircraft came back to base without having dropped their weapons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;It\u2019s a very convoluted system for fighting a war,&#8221; said<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/Chuck Horner\" title=\"\"> Chuck Horner<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">, a retired Air Force general who commanded air operations during the 1990-91<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/Gulf War\" title=\"\"> Persian Gulf War<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">. &#8220;We\u2019re fighting with one arm tied behind our back.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The military counters\u00a0that today&#8217;s munitions are far\u00a0more precise than the bombs dropped over Iraq during the Gulf War&#8217;s &#8220;shock and awe&#8221; campaign. Intelligence also has steadily improved, allowing pilots\u00a0to kill top Islamic State\u00a0leaders and destroy targets such as the oil well, which reduce\u00a0the terror group\u2019s income.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Inside the command center<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The air war in Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan\u00a0and other parts of the Middle East is run from this sprawling desert base outside Doha, the capital of Qatar. Inside a massive windowless concrete building, protected\u00a0from the stifling desert heat, military men and women monitor banks of computer screens in a large, two-story room. On the walls above their heads are rows of screens, displaying surveillance video from throughout the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s a long way from previous wars, when bomber pilots would take off with targets marked on a map and drop &#8220;dumb&#8221; bombs with little or no communication with their home base. The bombs\u00a0would often\u00a0flatten entire city blocks\u00a0or more.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Today, technology allows\u00a0commanders to control events thousands of miles away.\u00a0The process for choosing ground targets begins with a nomination that could come from an intelligence analyst, ground forces or a pilot who sees a potential target, such as an enemy position, an oil well or a warehouse where the Islamic State stores cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If selected for further review, analysts will gather surveillance video and other intelligence that will establish a &#8220;pattern of life&#8221; around the target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" frameborder=\"0\" height=\"304\" marginheight=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" src=\"http:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/videos\/embed\/90305134\/?fullsite=true\" title=\"USA TODAY - Embed Player\" width=\"540\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts assign the target a collateral damage estimate based on its\u00a0proximity to civilians and the extent that\u00a0danger to them can be lessened. If there is a risk of hitting nearby buildings, they mitigate the risk by choosing smaller bombs or a fuse that can delay the explosion, so, for example, a bomb would only detonate after it penetrates the target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Military officers plot each bomb\u2019s point of impact on a building or other target, allowing them to measure precisely the blast radius of each explosive\u00a0they will drop. The selection of munitions can produce a precise impact.\u00a0Recently, a communications tower near a school was hit so that when it collapsed, it fell away from a cluster of nearby buildings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The analysts also reduce risks to civilians by determining when to strike, such as\u00a0at night when civilians wouldn\u2019t be around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Even after all those precautions, pilots will abort a mission if civilians unexpectedly approach a target by car or foot\u00a0as the bombing is about to begin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For U.S. advisers or the Iraqi or Syrian ground forces they are working with, the wait for an\u00a0OK\u00a0can seem excruciating. In June, coalition aircraft unleashed a massive airstrike on several Islamic State convoys fleeing<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/Fallujah\" title=\"\"> Fallujah<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">in western Iraq. Approval came\u00a0only after surveillance drones viewed the targets for hours to ensure there were no civilians inside the convoys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Missed opportunities?<\/b><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Coalition commanders point out that intelligence has improved during the air war, allowing pilots to attack an increasing number of targets, despite the restrictions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pilots dropped an\u00a0average of 496 bombs and other munitions per week this year, up from 144 in 2014, the year the air war began.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Targeting the militants\u2019 cash warehouses and oil facilities\u00a0has forced the Islamic State to cut pay to civilian workers by 50 percent and pay to its fighters by 20 percent, according to Harrigian, the campaign&#8217;s commander.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"540\" height=\"405\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/air-operations-center-2.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-55354\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/air-operations-center-2.jpg.jpg 540w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/air-operations-center-2.jpg.jpg?resize=300,225 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span>Air Force personnel monitor radar and communications traffic from a surveillance plane over Syrian airspace.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span>Photo Credit: Staff Sgt. Douglas Ellis\/Air Force<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Those figures don&#8217;t satisfy critics who say some targets are not hit because the approval time is too slow, and a more robust campaign might\u00a0increase the risk to civilians but end the Islamic State&#8217;s\u00a0reign of terror sooner.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;I don\u2019t care how much live communications you have, there\u2019s no way you get through layers of bureaucracy quick enough,&#8221; said Chris Harmer, an analyst at the<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/Institute for the Study of War\" title=\"\"> Institute for the Study of War<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">and a former naval aviator.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;If our prime goal is minimizing civilian casualties, then let\u2019s just throw in the\u00a0towel and walk away,&#8221; Harmer\u00a0said. &#8220;People will accept civilian casualties as an inevitable by-product if they think there is a strategic goal of defeating the enemy and replacing it with something better.&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Geoffrey Corn, a former Army lawyer and expert on wartime law, defended the military&#8217;s\u00a0emphasis on avoiding\u00a0civilian casualties as a necessary objective to prevent a backlash against the air campaign from the local\u00a0population.\u00a0&#8220;Ultimately it\u2019s beneficial because it serves a strategic interest,&#8221; Corn said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hundreds of thousands \u2014 if not millions\u00a0\u2014\u00a0of civilians have died in previous wars.\u00a0But global public opinion\u00a0would no longer accept casualties anywhere near that level, analysts say.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">&#8220;The application of force is driven by the political climate of the time,&#8221; said Dik Daso, a military historian and professor at the<\/p>\n\n\n\n<culink class=\"culinks\" culang=\"en\" href=\"http:\/\/curiyo.com\/en\/topic\/University of South Carolina\" title=\"\"> University of South Carolina<\/culink>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">. &#8220;People have come to believe that we can really do anything with these weapons and there is no excuse for hitting civilians.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The U.S. operation against ISIS has become the most tightly managed air campaign in history.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":55350,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":8,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"coauthors":[1595],"class_list":["post-26551","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-flashpoints"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"VRB3CO5UMJHL3AF5QEONSX7SZ4","arc_canonical_url":"\/flashpoints\/2016\/09\/13\/inside-the-anti-islamic-state-air-campaign-command-center\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This 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