{"id":31200,"date":"2020-03-04T18:35:47","date_gmt":"2020-03-04T18:35:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/uncategorized\/2020\/03\/04\/explainer-why-do-so-many-epidemics-originate-in-africa-and-asia\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T19:16:18","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T19:16:18","slug":"explainer-why-do-so-many-epidemics-originate-in-africa-and-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/news\/your-navy\/2020\/03\/04\/explainer-why-do-so-many-epidemics-originate-in-africa-and-asia\/","title":{"rendered":"Explainer: Why do so many epidemics originate in Africa and Asia?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The coronavirus disease, known as <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/naming-the-new-coronavirus-why-taking-wuhan-out-of-the-picture-matters-131738\" target=\"_blank\">COVID-19<\/a>, is a frightening reminder of the imminent global threat posed by emerging infectious diseases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although epidemics have arisen during all of human history, they now seem to be on the rise. In just the past 20 years, coronaviruses alone have caused three major outbreaks worldwide. Even more troubling, the duration between these three pandemics has gotten shorter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I am a <a href=\"https:\/\/vbs.psu.edu\/directory\/svk11\" target=_blank>virologist<\/a> and associate director of the <a href=\"https:\/\/vbs.psu.edu\/adl\" target=_blank>Animal Diagnostic Laboratory at Penn State University<\/a>, and my <a href=\"https:\/\/vbs.psu.edu\/research\/labs\/kuchipudi\" target=_blank>laboratory<\/a> studies zoonotic viruses, those that jump from animals and infect people. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Most of the pandemics have at least one thing in common: They began their deadly work in Asia or Africa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The reasons why may surprise you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"5514\" height=\"3666\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62477\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg 5514w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg?resize=300,199 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg?resize=768,511 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,681 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1021 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVID-PAK.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1362 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 5514px) 100vw, 5514px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A motorcyclist wears face mask in an effort to help prevent the spread of coronavirus, in Karachi, Pakistan, on Wednesday.  (Fareed Khan\/AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i><b>Population explosion and changing urban landscapes<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">An unprecedented shift in human population is one reason why more diseases originate in Asia and Africa. Rapid urbanization is happening throughout Asia and the Pacific regions, where <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1080\/13685530500088472\" target=_blank>60 <\/a>percent of the world already lives. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.worldbank.org\/content\/dam\/Worldbank\/Publications\/Urban%20Development\/EAP_Urban_Expansion_full_report_web.pdf\" target=_blank>World Bank<\/a>, almost 200 million people moved to urban areas in East Asia during the first decade of the 21st century. To put that into perspective, 200 million people could form the eighth most populous country in the world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Migration on that scale means forest land is destroyed to create residential areas. Wild animals, forced to move closer to cities and towns, inevitably encounter domestic animals and the human population. Wild animals often harbor viruses; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/sections\/goatsandsoda\/2020\/02\/20\/807742861\/new-research-bats-harbor-hundreds-of-coronaviruses-and-spillovers-arent-rare\" target=\"_blank\">bats, for instance, can carry hundreds<\/a> of them. And <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/a-clue-to-stopping-coronavirus-knowing-how-viruses-adapt-from-animals-to-humans-130790\" target=\"_blank\">viruses, jumping species to species<\/a>, can ultimately infect people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eventually, extreme urbanization becomes a vicious cycle: More people bring more deforestation, and human expansion and the loss of habitat ultimately <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/news.2009.20\" target=_blank>kills off predators<\/a>, including those that feed off rodents. With the predators gone \u2013 or at least with their numbers sharply diminished \u2013 the rodent population explodes. And <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1073\/pnas.1404958111\" target=_blank>as studies in Africa show<\/a>, so does the risk of zoonotic disease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The situation is only likely to get worse. A major proportion of East Asia\u2019s population still lives in rural areas. Urbanization is expected to continue for decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"5000\" height=\"3333\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62482\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg 5000w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg?resize=300,200 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg?resize=768,512 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,683 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1024 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/COVIDCHI.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1365 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 5000px) 100vw, 5000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">In this Feb. 21, photo, a doctor in a protective suit checks with patients at a temporary hospital at Tazihu gymnasium in Wuhan in central China&#8217;s Hubei province.  (Chinatopix via AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i><b>Subsistence agriculture and animal markets<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tropical regions, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1007\/978-3-319-68228-0_1\" target=_blank>rich in host biodiversity<\/a>, already hold a large pool of pathogens, greatly increasing the chance that a novel pathogen will emerge. The farming system throughout Africa and Asia doesn\u2019t help.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On both continents, many families depend on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.economist.com\/middle-east-and-africa\/2018\/04\/28\/africa-has-plenty-of-land-why-is-it-so-hard-to-make-a-living-from-it\" target=\"_blank\">subsistence farming<\/a> and a minuscule supply of livestock. Disease control, feed supplementation and housing for those animals is extremely limited. Cattle, chickens and pigs, which can <a href=\"https:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1098%2Frstb.2009.0133\" target=\"_blank\">carry endemic disease<\/a>, are often in close contact with each other, a variety of nondomestic animals and humans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And not just on the farms: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2020\/01\/22\/798644707\/why-wet-markets-persisted-in-china-despite-disease-and-hygiene-concerns\" target=_blank>Live animal markets<\/a>, commonplace throughout Asia and Africa, feature crowded conditions and the intimate mixing of multiple species, including humans. This too plays a key role in how a killer pathogen could emerge and spread between species.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Another risk: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/world-africa-36457637\" target=_blank>bushmeat hunting<\/a> and butchering, which is particularly widespread in sub-Saharan Africa. These activities, as they threaten animal species and irrevocably <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1098\/rsos.160498\" target=_blank>change ecosystems<\/a>, also bring people and wild animals together. Bushmeat hunting is <a href=\"https:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1007%2Fs10393-014-0942-y\" target=_blank>a clear and primary path<\/a> for zoonotic disease transmission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So is <a href=\"https:\/\/nccih.nih.gov\/health\/whatiscam\/chinesemed.htm\" target=_blank>traditional Chinese medicine<\/a>, which purports to provide remedies for a host of conditions like arthritis, epilepsy and erectile dysfunction. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Although no scientific evidence exists to support most of the claims, Asia is <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1002\/app5.13\" target=_blank>an enormous consumer<\/a> of traditional Chinese medicine products. Tigers, bears, rhinos, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/2020\/02\/20\/coronavirus-link-or-not-its-time-crack-down-illegal-animal-trade\/\" target=_blank>pangolins<\/a> and other animal species are poached so their body parts can be mixed into these questionable medications. This, too, is a major contributor to increasing animal-human interactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">What\u2019s more, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-china-tcm\/as-china-pushes-traditional-medicine-globally-illegal-wildlife-trade-flourishes-idUSKCN1R90D5\" target=_blank>demand is likely to go up<\/a>, as online marketing soars along with Asia\u2019s relentless economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"5000\" height=\"3333\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-62488\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg 5000w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg?resize=300,200 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg?resize=768,512 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,683 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1024 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/China-nurses.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1365 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 5000px) 100vw, 5000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Nurses assemble plastic face shields at a hospital designated for the coronavirus patients in Wuhan in central China&#8217;s Hubei province on Sunday.  (Chinatopix via AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i><b>A matter of time<\/b><\/i><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The viruses, thousands of them, continue to evolve. It\u2019s just a matter of time before another major outbreak occurs in this region of the world. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.niaid.nih.gov\/diseases-conditions\/coronaviruses\" target=_blank>All the coronaviruses<\/a> that caused recent epidemics, including the COVID-19, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cdc.gov\/coronavirus\/2019-ncov\/faq.html\" target=_blank>jumped from bats<\/a> to another animal before infecting humans. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It\u2019s difficult to predict precisely what chain of events cause a pandemic, but one thing is certain: These risks can be mitigated by developing strategies to minimize human effects which contribute to the ecological disturbances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">As the current outbreak has shown, an infectious disease that starts in one part of the world can spread globally in virtually no time whatsoever. There is an urgent need for constructive conservation strategies to prevent deforestation and reduce animal-human interactions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And a comprehensive global surveillance system to monitor the emergence of these diseases \u2013 now missing \u2013 would be an indispensable tool in helping us fight these deadly and terrifying epidemics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"3500\" height=\"2603\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-60209\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg 3500w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg?resize=300,223 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg?resize=768,571 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg?resize=1024,762 1024w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg?resize=1536,1142 1536w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Cor-vi-2.jpg.jpg?resize=2048,1523 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 3500px) 100vw, 3500px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">A medical worker waves near a propaganda poster as patients arrive at a temporary hospital with 1,100 beds converted from the Wuhan Sports Center in Wuhan in central China&#8217;s Hubei Province on Feb. 12.  (Xiao Yijiu\/Xinhua via AP)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><i>Dr. <\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/vbs.psu.edu\/directory\/svk11\" target=_blank><i>Suresh V. Kuchipudi<\/i><\/a><i> is the clinical professor and head of Microbiology Section and the associate director of the <\/i><a href=\"https:\/\/vbs.psu.edu\/adl\"><i>Animal Diagnostic Laboratory at Pennsylvania State University<\/i><\/a><i>. Dr. Kuchipudi\u2019s research underpins the development of novel diagnostic tools and intervention therapies for endemic and emerging viral diseases of animals and humans.<\/i><\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/news\/your-navy\/2018\/10\/25\/how-historical-disease-detectives-are-solving-the-mysteries-of-the-world-war-i-flu-epidemic\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"142\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/Epidemic2.jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">How historical disease detectives are solving the mysteries of the World War I flu epidemic<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">The centennial of the 1918 pandemic is a good time to take stock of how far the world has come since this historic health disaster \u2013 and to face the sobering fact that several key mysteries have yet to be resolved.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>And why we can expect more.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":35600,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":65,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[73,101,23,89,12,26,14,65],"tags":[],"coauthors":[8056],"class_list":["post-31200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","category-daily-news-roundup","category-home","category-middle-column","category-news","category-newsletters","category-opinion","category-your-navy"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"RVOYZE27WBAHVCCLATOXM2O3HI","arc_canonical_url":"\/news\/your-navy\/2020\/03\/04\/explainer-why-do-so-many-epidemics-originate-in-africa-and-asia\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented By:"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v26.0 (Yoast SEO v28.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Explainer: Why do so many epidemics originate in Africa and Asia? - Navy Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"And why we can expect more.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Explainer: Why do so many epidemics originate in Africa and Asia?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"And why we can expect more.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/news\/your-navy\/2020\/03\/04\/explainer-why-do-so-many-epidemics-originate-in-africa-and-asia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Navy Times\" \/>\n<meta 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