{"id":68189,"date":"2021-04-07T10:15:23","date_gmt":"2021-04-07T10:15:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/uncategorized\/2021\/04\/07\/us-military-cites-rising-risk-of-chinese-move-against-taiwan\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T13:40:41","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T13:40:41","slug":"us-military-cites-rising-risk-of-chinese-move-against-taiwan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/navytimes\/flashpoints\/2021\/04\/07\/us-military-cites-rising-risk-of-chinese-move-against-taiwan\/","title":{"rendered":"US military cites rising risk of Chinese move against Taiwan"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WASHINGTON (AP) \u2014 The American military is warning that China is probably accelerating its timetable for capturing control of Taiwan, the island democracy that has been&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/taiwan-us-china-explained-e23ec5684d25d3cca654a3935f68d0f7\">the chief source of tension between Washington and Beijing<\/a>&nbsp;for decades and is widely seen as the most likely trigger for a potentially catastrophic U.S.-China war.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The worry about Taiwan comes as China wields new strength from years of military buildup. It has become more aggressive with Taiwan and more assertive in sovereignty disputes in&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/07dc9cff9d42047cfcf28799112eb59d\">the South China Sea<\/a>. Beijing also has become more confrontational with Washington; senior Chinese officials&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/donald-trump-alaska-antony-blinken-yang-jiechi-wang-yi-fc23cd2b23332fa8dd2d781bd3f7c178\">traded sharp and unusually public barbs<\/a>&nbsp;with&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/joe-biden-donald-trump-biden-cabinet-antony-blinken-cabinets-d74929057a9e8e5f74e0ee553a6baced\">Secretary of State Antony Blinken<\/a>&nbsp;in talks in Alaska last month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A military move against Taiwan, however, would be a test of U.S. support for the island that Beijing views as a breakaway province. For the Biden administration, it could present the choice of abandoning a friendly, democratic entity or risking what could become an all-out war over a cause that is not on the radar of most Americans. The United States has long pledged to help Taiwan defend itself, but it has deliberately left unclear how far it would go in response to a Chinese attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This accumulation of concerns meshes with the administration\u2019s view that China is a frontline challenge for the United States and that more must be done soon \u2014 militarily, diplomatically and by other means \u2014 to deter Beijing as it seeks to supplant the United States as the predominant power in Asia. Some American military leaders see Taiwan as potentially the most immediate flashpoint.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cWe have indications that the risks are actually going up,\u201d Adm. Philip Davidson, the most senior U.S. military commander in the Asia-Pacific region, told a Senate panel last month, referring to a Chinese military move on Taiwan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cThe threat is manifest during this decade \u2014 in fact, in the next six years,\u201d Davidson said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Days later, Davidson\u2019s expected successor, Adm. John Aquilino, declined to back up the six-year timeframe but told senators at his confirmation hearing: \u201cMy opinion is, this problem is much closer to us than most think.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\t<aside class=\"smg-interstitial-link wp-block-smg-interstitial-link\">\n\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/militarytimes\/news\/your-military\/2020\/09\/02\/what-war-with-china-could-look-like\/\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__media\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" src=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/635774999538290744-mar-2015-dawn-blitz-5jpg.jpg?w=300\" class=\"smg-interstitial-link__image wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"smg-interstitial-link__content\">\n\t\t\t\t<span class=\"smg-interstitial-link__kicker\">Related<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"smg-interstitial-link__title\">What war with China could look like<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"smg-interstitial-link__excerpt\">A host of scenarios could push China and the United States into some kind of conflict.<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/aside>\n\t\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Biden administration officials have spoken less pointedly but stress the intention to deepen ties with Taiwan, eliciting warnings from Beijing against outsider interference in what it considers a domestic matter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/joe-biden-biden-cabinet-lloyd-austin-john-cornyn-army-4d8848273e4e1fe6e4ad2dc8cee7313c\">Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin<\/a>&nbsp;calls China the \u201cpacing threat\u201d for the United States, and the military services are adjusting accordingly. The Marine Corps, for example, is reshaping itself with China and Russia in mind after two decades of ground-focused combat against extremists in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hardly an aspect of China\u2019s military modernization has failed to rile the U.S. military. Adm. Charles Richard, who as head of U.S. Strategic Command is responsible for U.S. nuclear forces, wrote in a recent essay that China is on track to be a \u201cstrategic peer\u201d of the United States. He said China\u2019s nuclear weapons stockpile is expected to double \u201cif not triple or quadruple\u201d in the next 10 years, although that goes beyond the Pentagon\u2019s official view that the stockpile will \u201cat least double\u201d in that period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Taiwan, however, is seen as the most pressing problem.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">U.S. officials have noted People\u2019s Liberation Army actions that seem designed to rattle Taiwan. For example, Chinese aerial incursions, including flying around the island, are a near-daily occurrence, serving to advertise the threat, wear down Taiwanese pilots and aircraft and learn more about Taiwan\u2019s capabilities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chinese officials have scoffed at Davidson\u2019s Taiwan comments. A Ministry of Defense spokesman, Col. Ren Guoqiang, urged Washington to \u201cabandon zero-peace thinking\u201d and do more to build mutual trust and stability. He said that \u201cattempts by outside forces to use Taiwan to seek to restrain China, or the use by Taiwan independence forces to use military means to achieve independence, are all dead ends.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The implications of a Chinese military move against Taiwan and its 23 million people are so profound and potentially grave that Beijing and Washington have long managed a fragile middle ground \u2014 Taiwanese political autonomy that precludes control by Beijing but stops short of formal independence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Predictions of when China might decide to try to compel Taiwan to reunite with the mainland have long varied, and there is no uniform view in the United States. Larry Diamond, a senior fellow at Stanford University\u2019s Hoover Institution, said last week he doubts Chinese leaders are ready to force the issue.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cI don\u2019t think it\u2019s coming soon,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1196\" height=\"628\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/20200116_BPW_04.JPG.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9430\" srcset=\"https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/20200116_BPW_04.JPG.jpg 1196w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/20200116_BPW_04.JPG.jpg?resize=300,158 300w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/20200116_BPW_04.JPG.jpg?resize=768,403 768w, https:\/\/one.sightlinemg.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/20200116_BPW_04.JPG.jpg?resize=1024,538 1024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1196px) 100vw, 1196px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Bullets are lined up in front of a U.S. made F-16V fighters during a military exercise in Taiwan, Wednesday, Jan. 15, 2020. Defense Ministry started two-day drill to show the ability of the armed forces to provide security ahead of upcoming Lunar New Year holiday. (AP Photo\/Chiang Ying-ying)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Trump administration made a series of moves to demonstrate a stronger commitment to Taiwan, including sending a Cabinet member to Taipei last year, making him the highest-level U.S. official to visit the island since formal diplomatic relations were severed in 1979 in deference to China. The Biden administration says it wants to cooperate with China where possible but has voiced its objections to a wide range of Chinese actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Last week, the U.S. ambassador to the Pacific island nation of Palau, John Hennessey-Niland, became the first serving U.S. ambassador to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/beijing-palau-tsai-ing-wen-china-taiwan-361b97451367d686b47d309889e0594c\">visit Taiwan<\/a>&nbsp;since Washington cut ties with Taipei in favor of Beijing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">China is a frequent target of criticism in Congress. Concerns about countering its growing military might are reflected in passage of the Pacific Deterrence Initiative, funded at $2.2 billion for 2021. Davidson wants it to support, among other initiatives, establishing a better air defense system to protect the U.S. territory of Guam from Chinese missiles and preserving U.S. military dominance in the region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rep. Adam Smith, a Washington Democrat and chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, is skeptical of the military\u2019s fixation on dominance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201cGiven the way the world works now, having one country be dominant is just hopelessly unrealistic,\u201d he said in a recent online forum sponsored by Meridian, a nonpartisan diplomacy center. He said the U.S. military can maintain sufficient strength, in partnership with allies, to send the message: \u201cChina, don\u2019t invade Taiwan because the price you\u2019re going to pay for that isn\u2019t worth it.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">___<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Associated Press writer Ken Moritsugu in Beijing and AP Diplomatic Writer Matthew Lee in Washington contributed to this report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The worry about Taiwan comes as China wields new strength from years of military buildup.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":101819,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-noindex":"","_yoast_wpseo_meta-robots-nofollow":"","_yoast_wpseo_canonical":"","_acf":"","_yoast_wpseo_primary_category":8,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_smg_distribution_targets":[]},"categories":[101,8,23,89,12,26],"tags":[],"coauthors":[2484],"class_list":["post-68189","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-news-roundup","category-flashpoints","category-home","category-middle-column","category-news","category-newsletters"],"acf":{"subheadline":"","legacy_arc_id":"KCWJ7ZOL6RBRDHOP7NNLRQHRF4","arc_canonical_url":"\/flashpoints\/2021\/04\/07\/us-military-cites-rising-risk-of-chinese-move-against-taiwan\/","remove_feature_photo":false,"is_sponsored":false,"subtype":"","redirect_url":"","disable_inline_ads":false,"native_logo_pretext":"Presented 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